|

USD/CAD sees a bumpy ride as DXY slips below 105.00, oil rebounds

  • USD/CAD is likely to display some losses as DXY skids and oil rebounds.
  • As per Fed Powell, even a spree of rate hikes doesn’t guarantee the return of the inflation rate to 2%.
  • Oil prices witnessed a significant correction as comments from central banks diminishes demand forecasts.

The USD/CAD pair has sensed barricades around the round-level resistance of 1.2900 in the Asian session. The asset has witnessed offers as the US dollar index (DXY) is going through a mild correction after failing to cross the critical hurdle of 105.19. The loonie bulls may drive the asset lower if it slips below the crucial support of 1.2877.

On a broader note, the DXY is principally strong as the Federal Reserve (Fed) looks bound to step up the interest rates further. Fed chair Jerome Powell is dictating on a repetitive note that the Fed is ‘unintentionally committed’ to bringing price stability to the economy. To fulfill the objective, interest rate elevation is the only measure as balance sheet reduction has already been announced.

The Fed has raised its interest rates to 1.50-1.75% in its last three monetary policy meetings, however, no impact has been recorded on the inflation rate. Therefore, more rate hikes look possible in the upcoming policy meets. One thing that has bolstered the DXY for a prolonged period is the statement by Fed Powell that even a spree of rate hikes doesn’t guarantee that the inflation rate will return to 2% from a whopping figure of 8.6% recorded for May.

On the oil front, a firmer rebound has been witnessed in the oil prices. The oil prices witnessed a steep correction on Wednesday after the comments from central banks in ECB’s annual Forum on Central Banking diminished the growth forecasts. It is worth noting that Canada is a leading exporter of oil to the US and a rebound in oil prices may support the loonie bulls.

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2887
Today Daily Change-0.0006
Today Daily Change %-0.05
Today daily open1.2893
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2821
Daily SMA501.282
Daily SMA1001.2735
Daily SMA2001.2678
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.29
Previous Daily Low1.2844
Previous Weekly High1.3039
Previous Weekly Low1.289
Previous Monthly High1.3077
Previous Monthly Low1.2629
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2879
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2865
Daily Pivot Point S11.2858
Daily Pivot Point S21.2823
Daily Pivot Point S31.2802
Daily Pivot Point R11.2914
Daily Pivot Point R21.2935
Daily Pivot Point R31.297

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays weak below 1.1700 on firmer US Dollar

EUR/USD remains under moderate selling pressure and trades below 1.1700 on Monday. The pair stays on the back foot as the US Dollar benefits from the cautious market mood following the US military intervention in Venezuela and the capture of President Nicolas Maduro. Investors await US Manufacturing PMI data.

GBP/USD holds steady above 1.3450 ahead of US data

GBP/USD stages a rebound and trades above 1.3450 following a decline toward 1.3400 earlier in the day. Markets remain wary and prefer safety in the US Dollar due the US-Venezuela geopolitical escalation, limiting the pair's upside. Investors now await the US ISM Manufacturing PMI report for December.

Gold clings to strong daily gains above $4,400

Gold started the week on a bullish note and climbed above $4,400 before going into a consolidation phase in the second half of the day on Monday. Heightened geopolitical tensions help XAU/USD hold its ground after the US launched land strikes on Venezuela, leading to the capture of its President, Nicolás Maduro, and his wife.

ISM Manufacturing PMI set to show US factory activity remained in contraction at year-end

The Institute for Supply Management is scheduled to release the December Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index on Monday. The index is a trusted measure of the health of the United States manufacturing sector, closely followed by market players.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Meme Coins Price Prediction: Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Pepe rally on Venezuela’s shadow BTC reserve

Meme coins such as Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe are leading the cryptocurrency market rally driven by the US cross-border operation to capture Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. Dogecoin extends its gain for the fifth consecutive day while SHIB and PEPE take a pause.