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USD/CAD remains confined in a range, holds above mid-1.2600s ahead of US CPI

  • A combination of factors continued acting as a headwind for USD/CAD on Thursday.
  • Bullish oil prices underpinned the loonie and capped the upside amid weaker USD.
  • The downside remains cushioned as investors await the release of the US CPI print.

The USD/CAD pair extended its sideways consolidative price move through the early North American session and remained confined in a narrow trading band, around the 1.2670 region.

The pair struggled to gain any meaningful traction and remained below the 1.2700 mark amid the underlying bullish tone around crude oil prices, which tend to benefit the commodity-linked loonie. On the other hand, a generally positive risk tone weighed on the safe-haven US dollar and acted as a headwind for the USD/CAD pair.

The downside, however, remains cushioned, at least for the time being, as investors seem reluctant and preferred to wait on the sidelines ahead of the US consumer inflation figures. It is worth mentioning that investors have been pricing in a more aggressive policy response by the Fed to contain stubbornly high inflation.

Hence, the US CPI report for January would be looked upon for fresh clues about the pace of the Fed's policy tightening cycle. This, in turn, will play a key role in driving the near-term USD demand. This, along with oil price dynamics, would help investors to determine the next leg of a directional move for the USD/CAD pair.

From a technical perspective, bulls, so far, have managed to defend support near the 1.2450 region. This should now act as a pivotal point for short-term traders, which if broken decisively will set the stage for an extension of the recent pullback from the 1.2785 region, or the monthly high touched in reaction to the stellar NFP report last week.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2672
Today Daily Change0.0004
Today Daily Change %0.03
Today daily open1.2668
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2636
Daily SMA501.271
Daily SMA1001.2621
Daily SMA2001.2521
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2715
Previous Daily Low1.2665
Previous Weekly High1.2788
Previous Weekly Low1.265
Previous Monthly High1.2814
Previous Monthly Low1.2451
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2684
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2696
Daily Pivot Point S11.2651
Daily Pivot Point S21.2633
Daily Pivot Point S31.2601
Daily Pivot Point R11.2701
Daily Pivot Point R21.2733
Daily Pivot Point R31.275

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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