|

USD/CAD registers small recovery gains after finding support near 1.3100

  • Disappointing sales data from Canada weighs on CAD.
  • WTI extends winning streak into sixth day on Thursday.
  • US Dollar Index struggles to advance beyond 97.50.

After dropping to 1.3100 for the first time in six weeks on Wednesday, the USD/CAD pair staged a technical recovery on Thursday and looks to close the day with small gains above 1.3120.

CAD fails to capitalize on oil rally

Although crude oil prices continued to push higher with the barrel of West Texas Intermediate renewing its multi-month highs near $61.40, the CAD struggled to gather strength amid the disappointing data. Wholesale Sales in Canada declined by 1.1% in October to come in worse than the market expectation for a decrease of 0.1%, Statistics Canada reported on Thursday.

On the other hand, the greenback's uninspiring performance made it difficult for the pair to extend its rebound. 

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey revealed that the manufacturing activity in the region was virtually flat in December with the headline Diffusion Index dropping to 0.3 from 10.4 in November. Resurfacing concerns over a protracted slowdown in the US manufacturing sector weighed on the greenback.

After rising toward the 97.50 mark earlier in the day, the US Dollar Index lost its traction and was last down 0.06% on the day at 97.34.

On Friday, Retail Sales data from Canada and the US Bureau of Economic Analysis' final estimate of the third-quarter US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will be looked upon by the participants for a final catalyst before markets turn subdued heading into the Christmas break. 

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.312
Today Daily Change0.0011
Today Daily Change %0.08
Today daily open1.3109
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3234
Daily SMA501.3198
Daily SMA1001.3232
Daily SMA2001.3272
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3176
Previous Daily Low1.3102
Previous Weekly High1.3267
Previous Weekly Low1.315
Previous Monthly High1.3328
Previous Monthly Low1.3114
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3131
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3148
Daily Pivot Point S11.3082
Daily Pivot Point S21.3055
Daily Pivot Point S31.3008
Daily Pivot Point R11.3156
Daily Pivot Point R21.3203
Daily Pivot Point R31.323

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD softens below 1.1750 after Fed Minutes

The EUR/USD pair attracts some sellers near 1.1745 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar edges higher against the Euro after the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve's December meeting. The US Initial Jobless Claims report will be released later in the day. Trading volumes are expected to remain thin ahead of the New Year holidays.

GBP/USD trades flat above 1.3450 amid thin trading volume

The GBP/USD pair holds steady around 1.3465 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. However, the Bank of England guided that monetary policy will remain on a gradual downward path, which might underpin the Cable against the US Dollar. Financial markets are expected to trade on thin volumes as traders prepare for the New Year holiday.

Gold attempts another run toward $4,400 on final day of 2025

Gold price makes another attempt toward $4,400 in Asian trading on Tuesday, keeping the recovery mode intact following Monday's over 4% correction. The bright metal seems to cheer upbeat Chinese NBS and RatingDog Manufacturing and Services PMI data for December. 

Top Crypto Gainers: Canton, Four, Plasma rally secures double-digit gains

Canton, Four, and Plasma are the top-performing crypto assets over the last 24 hours with double-digit gains. The extended recovery in Canton is gaining traction while Four and Plasma target a decisive close above the 200-period Exponential Moving Average on the 4-hour chart.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).