|

USD/CAD recovers to 1.3100 ahead of BOC rate hike

  • Fresh selling in Oil, US dollar strength lend support to USD/CAD.  
  • Upside could remain capped amid expectations of a BOC rate hike.

The USD/CAD pair caught a fresh bid-wave and embarked upon a steady recovery mode to regain the 1.31 handle before meeting fresh supply at the last, as the bulls await the BOC monetary policy decision for the next push higher.

The latest leg higher in the spot can be attributed to resurgent US dollar demand, mainly driven by a sell-off in the EUR and the GBP, in the wake of the European political woes. Moreover, markets prefer to hold the safe-haven US dollar in times of softer risk sentiment.

Furthermore, the ongoing weakness seen around oil prices amid Saudi’s commitment to compensate Iran’s oil supply shortfall keeps the resource-linked Loonie on the back foot. However, the recovery in the spot could be short-lived, as the CAD may regain strength on a 25bps rate hike announcement due by the BOC later in the NA session today.

USD/CAD Technical levels

FXStreet’s Analyst Omkar Godbole offers key technical levels for the USD/CAD pair heading into the BOC rate decision.

Resistance

R1: 1.3100 (session high)

R2: 1.3120 (falling trendline)

R3: 1.3226 (September high)

Support

S1: 1.3048 (10-day EMA)

S2: 1.3005 (100-day EMA) - 1.30 (psychological support)

S3: 1.2954 (200-day EMA)

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 ahead of Fed Minutes

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and continues to move sideways below 1.1800 for the second consecutive day on Tuesday as markets remain in holiday mood. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of the December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats to 1.3500 area following earlier climb

GBP/USD loses its traction and trades flat on the day near 1.3500 after rising to the 1.3530 area early Tuesday. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility. The Fed will publish December meeting minutes in the late American session.

Gold rebounds toward $4,400 following sharp correction

Gold gathers recovery momentum and advances toward $4,400 on Tuesday after losing more than 4% on Monday. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).