|

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Tests nine-day EMA near 1.3900 resistance level

  • The USD/CAD pair could revisit the six-month low of 1.3781.
  • The successful breach above the nine-day EMA of 1.3886 would improve the short-term price momentum
  • The pair may test the upper boundary of the descending channel near 1.3900.

The USD/CAD pair gains ground for the second successive day, trading around 1.3890 during the European session on Monday. However, technical analysis on the daily chart indicates a prevailing bearish trend, with the pair continuing to move lower within a clearly defined descending channel.

Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above the 30 level, signaling the potential for a continued short-term corrective bounce. However, with the RSI still below the 50 threshold, the broader bearish outlook remains intact. However, the USD/CAD pair tests the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating a potential bullish shift in short-term momentum.

On the downside, the USD/CAD pair could revisit the six-month low of 1.3781, last touched on April 21. A clear break below this level would reinforce the bearish bias, potentially driving the pair toward the descending channel’s lower boundary near the 1.3500 area, with additional support seen around 1.3419 — its lowest point since February 2024.

The successful breach above the nine-day EMA of 1.3886 would improve the short-term price momentum and lead the USD/CAD pair to test the upper boundary of the descending channel near 1.3900. A breakout above this channel would signal a potential shift toward a bullish bias, paving the way for a move toward the 50-day EMA at 1.4123. Further gains could target the next major resistance at 1.4793 — the lowest level observed since April 2003.

USD/CAD: Daily Chart

Canadian Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Canadian Dollar (CAD) against listed major currencies today. Canadian Dollar was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.25%0.00%0.03%0.16%0.40%0.44%0.26%
EUR-0.25%-0.31%-0.20%-0.11%0.05%0.18%-0.01%
GBP-0.00%0.31%0.06%0.21%0.34%0.48%0.31%
JPY-0.03%0.20%-0.06%0.14%0.38%-1.01%0.48%
CAD-0.16%0.11%-0.21%-0.14%0.11%0.27%0.11%
AUD-0.40%-0.05%-0.34%-0.38%-0.11%0.14%-0.05%
NZD-0.44%-0.18%-0.48%1.01%-0.27%-0.14%-0.17%
CHF-0.26%0.01%-0.31%-0.48%-0.11%0.05%0.17%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Canadian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CAD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.