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USD/CAD Price Analysis: Stays pressured towards 1.3690 support

  • USD/CAD fades bounce off three-week-old support line, grinds lower of late.
  • Receding bullish bias of MACD, descending RSI line lure sellers.
  • 100, 200 EMAs act as additional downside filters.
  • Weekly descending trend line holds the key to Loonie pair’s run-up towards refreshing 2023 top.

USD/CAD holds lower ground near 1.3750 as it pares the biggest daily gains in a week during early Thursday morning in Europe. In doing so, the Loonie pair fades the previous day’s bounce off a three-week-old ascending support line while printing mild losses of late.

Apart from failing to rebound from the short-term key support, the receding bullish bias of the MACD signals and the RSI (14) line’s downward move, not oversold, also keeps the USD/CAD bears hopeful of poking the 1.3690 level, comprising the aforementioned trend.

It’s worth noting, however, that the 100-bar and 200-bar Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), respectively near 1.3660 and 1.3585, could challenge the USD/CAD bears afterward.

Also acting as a downside filter is the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s February-March upside, near 1.3565.

On the flip side, a downward-sloping resistance line from March 10, close to 1.3810 at the latest, appears crucial for the USD/CAD buyers to watch during the pair’s further upside as a clear break of which could quickly refresh the year 2023 peak, currently around 1.3860.

In that case, October 2022 peak surrounding 1.3980 and the 1.4000 psychological magnet will gain major attention.

USD/CAD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.3745
Today Daily Change-0.0022
Today Daily Change %-0.16%
Today daily open1.3767
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3632
Daily SMA501.3489
Daily SMA1001.3507
Daily SMA2001.333
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3814
Previous Daily Low1.366
Previous Weekly High1.3862
Previous Weekly Low1.3582
Previous Monthly High1.3666
Previous Monthly Low1.3262
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3756
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3719
Daily Pivot Point S11.368
Daily Pivot Point S21.3593
Daily Pivot Point S31.3526
Daily Pivot Point R11.3835
Daily Pivot Point R21.3902
Daily Pivot Point R31.3989

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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