|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Snaps two-day winning streak above the 1.3500 mark

  • USD/CAD recovery loses steam near 1.3510 ahead of the Canadian PMI data. 
  • The pair resumes its uptrend above the key EMA; RSI indicator is above the 50.0 midlines. 
  • The first upside target is seen at 1.3545; the initial support level is located at 1.3460.

The USD/CAD pair loses traction near the intraday low during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. The decline of the US Dollar (USD) acts as a headwind for the pair. Later on Tuesday, the Canadian Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for January will be due, which is estimated to ease to 55.0 in January from 56.3 in December. At press time, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3510, down 0.22% on the day.

Technically, USD/CAD resumes its uptrend and holds above 100-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) on the four-hour chart. Furthermore, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands above the 50.0 midlines, hinting that further upside looks favorable. 

The first upside barrier for USD/CAD will emerge near a high of January 5 at 1.3545. Any follow-through buying above the latter will see a rally to the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band at 1.3569. A sustained break could take the pair to a high of December 12 at 1.3618, followed by a high of November 27 at 1.3711. 

In the case of a bearish trading environment, the initial support level is seen near a high of February 1 at 1.3460. The next downside target is located near the 100-period EMA at 1.3443. The additional downside filter to watch is 1.3395 (low of January 20), en route to 1.3365 (low of February 2), and finally at 1.3347 (the lower limit of the Bollinger Band).

USD/CAD four-hour chart

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3511
Today Daily Change-0.0029
Today Daily Change %-0.21
Today daily open1.354
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3449
Daily SMA501.3427
Daily SMA1001.3553
Daily SMA2001.3477
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3544
Previous Daily Low1.346
Previous Weekly High1.3476
Previous Weekly Low1.3359
Previous Monthly High1.3542
Previous Monthly Low1.3229
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3512
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3492
Daily Pivot Point S11.3486
Daily Pivot Point S21.3431
Daily Pivot Point S31.3402
Daily Pivot Point R11.3569
Daily Pivot Point R21.3599
Daily Pivot Point R31.3653

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD deflates to fresh lows, targets 1.1600

The selling pressure on EUR/USD now gathers extra pace, prompting the pair to hit fresh multi-week lows in the 1.1625-1.1620 band on Friday. The continuation of the downward bias comes in response to further gains in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess the mixed release of US Nonfarm Payrolls in December.

GBP/USD breaks below 1.3400, challenges the 200-day SMA

GBP/USD remains under heavy fire and retreats for the fourth consecutive day on Friday. Indeed, Cable suffers the strong performance of the Greenback, intensified post-mixed NFP, and trades at shouting distance from its critical 200-day SMA near 1.3380.

Gold flirts with yearly tops around $4,500

Gold keeps its positive bias on Friday, adding to Thursday’s advance and challenging yearly highs in the $4,500 region per troy ounce. The risk-off sentiment favours the yellow metal despite the firmer tone in the Greenback and rising US Treasury yields.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP risk further decline as market fear persists amid slowing demand

Bitcoin holds $90,000 but stays below the 50-day EMA as institutional demand wanes. Ethereum steadies above $3,000 but remains structurally weak due to ETF outflows. XRP ETFs resume inflows, but the price struggles to gain ground above key support.

Week ahead – US CPI might challenge the geopolitics-boosted Dollar

Geopolitics may try to steal the limelight from US data. A possible US Supreme Court ruling on tariffs could dictate market movements. A crammed data calendar next week, US CPI comes on Tuesday; Fedspeak to intensify.

XRP trades under pressure amid weak retail demand

XRP presses down on the 50-day EMA support as risk-averse sentiment spreads despite a positive start to 2026. XRP faces declining retail demand, as reflected in futures Open Interest, which has fallen to $4.15 billion.