|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Recovery takes shape of a rising wedge

  • USD/CAD prints a rising wedge bearish reversal pattern on the hourly chart. 
  • A breakdown would expose the recent low of 1.2928.

USD/CAD's recovery from Monday's low of 1.2928 to 1.3070 has taken the shape of a rising wedge pattern as per the hourly chart

A rising wedge comprises converging trendlines connecting higher highs and higher lows. The converging nature of trendlines indicates weak upside momentum. As such, a breakdown is considered a sign of bearish reversal. 

In this case, a breakdown would imply an en end of the corrective bounce from 1.2928 and open the doors for a re-test of that level. 

However, if the pair rises above the top end of the rising wedge, the bearish pattern would be negated, and further gains toward the descending 10-day simple moving average (SMA) at 1.3105 may be seen. 

That possibility cannot be ruled out, as the daily chart shows the pair closed above 1.3051 on Wednesday, confirming a bullish view put forward by Tuesday's inside day candlestick pattern. 

Hourly chart

Trend: Cautiously bullish

Technical levels

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3069
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open1.3067
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3162
Daily SMA501.3203
Daily SMA1001.3292
Daily SMA2001.354
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3078
Previous Daily Low1.3009
Previous Weekly High1.337
Previous Weekly Low1.3019
Previous Monthly High1.339
Previous Monthly Low1.3081
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3051
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3035
Daily Pivot Point S11.3025
Daily Pivot Point S21.2982
Daily Pivot Point S31.2956
Daily Pivot Point R11.3093
Daily Pivot Point R21.312
Daily Pivot Point R31.3162

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD slips toward 1.3350 after soft UK CPI data

GBP/USD erases recovery gains and slips toward 1.3350 in the European session on Wednesday. The UK annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation cooled to 2.6% in June against the market forecast of 2.7%, tempering the British Pound's rebound from weekly troughs. Traders also assess the ongoing Mideast tensions amid a pause in the US Dollar uptrend.

EUR/USD holds above 1.1400 amid US Dollar retreat

EUR/USD holds positive ground above 1.1400 in European trading on Wednesday, helped by hawkish ECB expectations and a broad US Dollar retreat. However, persisting Middle East tensions and surging Oil prices keep the pair's upside elusive.

Gold holds gains above $4,100 undaunted by risk-off markets

Gold extends gains for the fourth consecutive day, standing comfortably above $4,100, unfazed by the risk-off market amid rising tensions in Iran and higher Oil prices. The pair has rallied nearly 2.5% so far this week and is on track for its best weekly performance in more than three months.

Cardano: Short-term recovery lacks retail support

Cardano price edges lower after the 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $1.770 capped two consecutive days of recovery seen earlier this week. ADA futures point to waning retail traction as Open Interest and trading volume decline amid elevated long liquidations. The technical outlook for ADA is bearish, as momentum remains subdued below a resistance trendline near $0.1782.

Chip stocks are more volatile than Oil

I continue to start the day by looking at these two charts: US crude & Kospi. The former is extending gains, trading above $86 per barrel for WTI and $92 per barrel for Brent, while the Kospi is up more than 4.5%, led higher by Korean chipmakers following a similar jump in VanEck's Semiconductor ETF yesterday.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.