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USD/CAD Price Analysis: Recovery takes shape of a rising wedge

  • USD/CAD prints a rising wedge bearish reversal pattern on the hourly chart. 
  • A breakdown would expose the recent low of 1.2928.

USD/CAD's recovery from Monday's low of 1.2928 to 1.3070 has taken the shape of a rising wedge pattern as per the hourly chart

A rising wedge comprises converging trendlines connecting higher highs and higher lows. The converging nature of trendlines indicates weak upside momentum. As such, a breakdown is considered a sign of bearish reversal. 

In this case, a breakdown would imply an en end of the corrective bounce from 1.2928 and open the doors for a re-test of that level. 

However, if the pair rises above the top end of the rising wedge, the bearish pattern would be negated, and further gains toward the descending 10-day simple moving average (SMA) at 1.3105 may be seen. 

That possibility cannot be ruled out, as the daily chart shows the pair closed above 1.3051 on Wednesday, confirming a bullish view put forward by Tuesday's inside day candlestick pattern. 

Hourly chart

Trend: Cautiously bullish

Technical levels

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3069
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open1.3067
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3162
Daily SMA501.3203
Daily SMA1001.3292
Daily SMA2001.354
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3078
Previous Daily Low1.3009
Previous Weekly High1.337
Previous Weekly Low1.3019
Previous Monthly High1.339
Previous Monthly Low1.3081
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3051
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3035
Daily Pivot Point S11.3025
Daily Pivot Point S21.2982
Daily Pivot Point S31.2956
Daily Pivot Point R11.3093
Daily Pivot Point R21.312
Daily Pivot Point R31.3162

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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