|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Rebounds off key support, as the downtrend remains suspect

  • USD/CAD stalls its downtrend, finding support at 1.3489, just above the 200-day Moving Average, and trades 0.14% higher.
  • If the pair sustains above 1.3489, it could target resistance levels at 1.3550, 1.3580/90, and the psychological 1.3600 mark.
  • A break below 1.3489 could signal a bearish resumption, exposing the 200-DMA at 1.3463 and the 50-DMA at 1.3413.

The USD/CAD downtrend stalls after the US Dollar found its footing, trimming some of its previous losses against the Loonie. Support emerged at around 1.3489, cushioning the pair’s fall and the 200-day Moving Average (DMA) sitting below that level. As of writing, the currency pair exchanges hands at 1.3527, up 0.14%.

From a daily chart perspective, the pair remains upward-biased despite the recent retracement. Sellers failed to drag prices below the September 1 swing low of 1.3489, which could exacerbate a leg up, and the USD/CAD could resume its uptrend in the short term. Hence, the first resistance would be the  1.3550 area, followed by the confluence of the September 12 and 13 highs at around 1.3580/90, immediately followed by the 1.3600 psychological level.

Contrarily, a bearish resumption would happen if the USD/CAD slumps below 1.3489, which could trigger a break in the market structure and expose the 200-DMA at 1.3463. A breach of the latter would expose the 50-DMA at 1.3413, followed by the July 7 daily high turned support at 1.3387.

USD/CAD Price Action – Daily chart

USD/CAD Technical Levels

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3528
Today Daily Change0.0020
Today Daily Change %0.15
Today daily open1.3508
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3576
Daily SMA501.3409
Daily SMA1001.3403
Daily SMA2001.3466
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3557
Previous Daily Low1.3493
Previous Weekly High1.3694
Previous Weekly Low1.3576
Previous Monthly High1.364
Previous Monthly Low1.3184
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3518
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3532
Daily Pivot Point S11.3482
Daily Pivot Point S21.3456
Daily Pivot Point S31.3419
Daily Pivot Point R11.3546
Daily Pivot Point R21.3583
Daily Pivot Point R31.3609

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).