|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Reaches a nearly two-year high above 1.3300 as buyers eye 1.3400

  • The Loonie would finish the week with losses above 2%.
  • A dismal sentiment weighed on risk-sensitive currencies like the Canadian dollar.
  • USD/CAD Price Analysis: A daily close above 1.3300 could pave the way towards 1.3400.

The USD/CAD rallied to a nearly two-year high at around 1.3307, a level last seen in November 2020, spurred by a risk-off impulse as investors worried about an aggressive Federal Reserve hike that could tap the US economy into a recession. At the time of writing, the USD/CAD is trading at 1.3293, above its opening price by 0.51%.

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The Loonie weakened vs. a solid greenback, piercing the 1.3300 mark briefly during the North American session. Given that the USD/CAD began trending up in April of 2021, the major might continue to extend its gains. Once achieving a daily close above the 1.3300 figure, the following target would be October 29, 2020, a daily high, at around 1.3390. Once cleared, it would expose the September 2020 highs at 1.3418.

Near term, the USD/CAD is poised to the upside, even though it retreated from above the 1.3300 figure. Worth noting that the 20-EMA at 1.3267 capped the retracement; since then, the pair recovered towards the R2 daily pivot at 1.3295. A breach of the latter will re-expose the YTD high at 1.3307, which, once cleared, would open the door toward the R3 pivot point at 1.3347, ahead of the R4 daily pivot at the 1.3400 mark.

USD/CAD Key Technical Levels

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3293
Today Daily Change0.0061
Today Daily Change %0.51
Today daily open1.3227
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3077
Daily SMA501.2967
Daily SMA1001.2906
Daily SMA2001.2793
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.324
Previous Daily Low1.3154
Previous Weekly High1.3209
Previous Weekly Low1.2982
Previous Monthly High1.3141
Previous Monthly Low1.2728
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3207
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3187
Daily Pivot Point S11.3174
Daily Pivot Point S21.3121
Daily Pivot Point S31.3087
Daily Pivot Point R11.326
Daily Pivot Point R21.3294
Daily Pivot Point R31.3347

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).