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USD/CAD Price Analysis: On the defensive after ascending trendline breakdown

  • USD/CAD has breached key ascending trendline support on the daily chart. 
  • The pair risks falling to the 200-day SMA support at 1.3495.

USD/CAD has dived out of an ascending trendline connecting June 10 and June 23 lows, validating the bearish view put forward by last week's bull failure at the trendline falling from March highs. 

The downside break of the three-week-long rising trendline is backed by a below-50 or bearish reading on the 14-day relative strength index and the bearish crossover of the 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMA). 

As a result, the pair appears on track to test the 200-day SMA support, currently at 1.3495. At press time, the pair is trading largely unchanged on the day at 1.3560, having put in a high of 1.3575 early Friday. 

The bias would turn bullish if the pair clears the multi-month descending trendline hurdle, currently at 1.3667. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.356
Today Daily Change-0.0004
Today Daily Change %-0.03
Today daily open1.3564
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3559
Daily SMA501.3773
Daily SMA1001.3808
Daily SMA2001.3494
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3624
Previous Daily Low1.356
Previous Weekly High1.3716
Previous Weekly Low1.3486
Previous Monthly High1.3802
Previous Monthly Low1.3316
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3585
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.36
Daily Pivot Point S11.3542
Daily Pivot Point S21.3519
Daily Pivot Point S31.3478
Daily Pivot Point R11.3606
Daily Pivot Point R21.3647
Daily Pivot Point R31.3669


 

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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