|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: A slippage below 1.3650 to activate double top formation

  • USD/CAD has managed to defend 1.3560 for the time being amid a recovery in the USD Index.
  • Canada’s quarterly GDP expanded by 0.8% against 0.4% as estimated and a stagnant performance was reported earlier.
  • USD/CAD has formed a Double Top pattern which will be triggered after a confident breakdown of 1.3568.

The USD/CAD pair has managed to defend its downside near 1.3560 in the Tokyo session. The Loonie asset has got some strength propelled by a recovery in the US Dollar Index (DXY). The USD Index has shown a solid recovery after correcting to near 104.13 on hopes that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will push interest rates further in June.

The Canadian Dollar got some strength on Thursday after the release of upbeat Q1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) numbers. Quarterly GDP expanded by 0.8% against 0.4% as estimated and a stagnant performance was reported in the prior quarter.

While monthly GDP (March) remained stagnant but managed to avoid contraction as expected by the market participants. The content is insufficient to force the Bank of Canada (BoC) to continue hiking interest rates again.

USD/CAD has formed a Double Top chart pattern on an hourly scale, which indicates a bearish reversal due to an absence of buying interest near critical resistance plotted from May 26 high at 1.3665. A confident breakdown of the trigger support around 1.3568 will activate the Double Top formation.  Potential support is placed from May 22 low at 1.3485.

Downward-sloping 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3592 indicates that the short-term trend is bearish.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which advocates more weakness ahead.

Going forward, a break below the intraday low at 1.3563 will drag the asset toward May 17 high at 1.3536. A breakdown below the latter will expose the Loonie asset to May 22 low at 1.3485.

On the contrary, a fresh buy would come above May 26 high at 1.3655, which would drive the asset toward the round-level resistance at 1.3700 followed by March 27 high at 1.3745.

USD/CAD hourly chart

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3574
Today Daily Change0.0000
Today Daily Change %-0.00
Today daily open1.3574
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3507
Daily SMA501.3518
Daily SMA1001.3517
Daily SMA2001.3502
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3651
Previous Daily Low1.3569
Previous Weekly High1.3655
Previous Weekly Low1.3485
Previous Monthly High1.3655
Previous Monthly Low1.3315
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3601
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.362
Daily Pivot Point S11.3545
Daily Pivot Point S21.3516
Daily Pivot Point S31.3464
Daily Pivot Point R11.3627
Daily Pivot Point R21.368
Daily Pivot Point R31.3709

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays weak below 1.1700 on firmer US Dollar

EUR/USD remains under moderate selling pressure and trades below 1.1700 on Monday. The pair stays on the back foot as the US Dollar benefits from the cautious market mood following the US military intervention in Venezuela and the capture of President Nicolas Maduro. Investors await US Manufacturing PMI data.

GBP/USD holds steady above 1.3450 ahead of US data

GBP/USD stages a rebound and trades above 1.3450 following a decline toward 1.3400 earlier in the day. Markets remain wary and prefer safety in the US Dollar due the US-Venezuela geopolitical escalation, limiting the pair's upside. Investors now await the US ISM Manufacturing PMI report for December.

Gold clings to strong daily gains above $4,400

Gold started the week on a bullish note and climbed above $4,400 before going into a consolidation phase in the second half of the day on Monday. Heightened geopolitical tensions help XAU/USD hold its ground after the US launched land strikes on Venezuela, leading to the capture of its President, Nicolás Maduro, and his wife.

ISM Manufacturing PMI set to show US factory activity remained in contraction at year-end

The Institute for Supply Management is scheduled to release the December Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index on Monday. The index is a trusted measure of the health of the United States manufacturing sector, closely followed by market players.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Meme Coins Price Prediction: Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Pepe rally on Venezuela’s shadow BTC reserve

Meme coins such as Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe are leading the cryptocurrency market rally driven by the US cross-border operation to capture Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. Dogecoin extends its gain for the fifth consecutive day while SHIB and PEPE take a pause.