|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Buyers stepped in around weekly lows on risk aversion

  • The US Dollar stages a recovery on risk aversion spurred by the China Covid-19 crisis.
  • USD/CAD bounced off weekly lows around 1.3300 and tested the 1.3400 mark.
  • USD/CAD Price Analysis: The head-and-shoulders chart pattern remains intact.

The US Dollar (USD) stages a recovery against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) amid a subdued trading session sparked by thin liquidity conditions caused by the observance of the US Thanksgiving holiday. However, China’s Covid-19 cases jumping above 30,000 spurring a risk-off impulse, and US Treasury yields rising, underpinned the USD. At the time of writing, the USD/CAD is trading at 1.3376

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

Delving into the USD/CAD daily chart, the major erased Thursday’s losses, though it faltered to crack the 1.3400 figure after reaching a daily high of 1.3398. Although the US Dollar is buoyant, traders should know that the head-and-shoulders chart pattern is still in play. However, the USD/CAD needs to tumble below 1.3300 and the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3268 to exacerbate a fall toward the head-and-shoulders chart pattern. Otherwise, the USD/CAD might jump above the 1.3500 neckline and invalidate the pattern.

As an alternate scenario, the USD/CAD first resistance would be the 1.3400 figure. A breach of the latter will send the USD/CAD climbing toward the confluence of the head-and-shoulders neckline and the 1.3500 psychological level, followed by the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3566.

USD/CAD Key Technical Levels

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3376
Today Daily Change0.0038
Today Daily Change %0.28
Today daily open1.3338
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3449
Daily SMA501.3566
Daily SMA1001.3267
Daily SMA2001.3008
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3362
Previous Daily Low1.3316
Previous Weekly High1.3409
Previous Weekly Low1.3226
Previous Monthly High1.3978
Previous Monthly Low1.3496
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3334
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3345
Daily Pivot Point S11.3315
Daily Pivot Point S21.3293
Daily Pivot Point S31.327
Daily Pivot Point R11.3361
Daily Pivot Point R21.3384
Daily Pivot Point R31.3407

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD shows resilience below 38.2% Fibo. near mid-0.7100s

The AUD/USD pair touches a one-and-a-half-week low, around the 0.7140 region during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks follow-through. Spot prices currently trade just above mid-0.7100s, down nearly 0.25% for the day.


USD/JPY: Japanese Yen edges lower vs USD amid Middle East jitters as Fed, BoJ meetings loom

The USD/JPY pair attracts some buyers at the start of a new week and climbs closer to the 154.00 mark during the Asian session, reversing a part of Friday's losses. Spot prices, however, remain confined in a range held over the past week or so and within striking distance of a nearly seven-month low, touched last Tuesday, as traders await this week's key central bank events.


Gold retests $4,300; USD losses momentum

Gold picks up fresh upside traction and challenges the key $4,300 mark per troy ounce on Monday. The yellow metal, however, remain on the back foot on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP recover ahead of US Senate vote on CLARITY Act

Bitcoin edges higher, trading near $77,884 as of Monday, in tandem with broader gains across the cryptocurrency market. Ethereum and Ripple follow Bitcoin’s neutral-to-bullish trajectory, holding key support levels at $2,521 and $1.38, respectively.

Will the Fed deliver the hawkishness markets are pricing in?

Fed hike bets increase after PPI and CPI reports. Updated dot plot to be crucial for the dollar’s reaction. Warsh’s independence faces test amid Trump’s pressure for lower rates. For the Dollar to extend gains, Fed needs to satisfy current hawkish bets.


Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.