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USD/CAD Price Analysis: Bulls pierce multi-month resistance, setting their sights on 1.3500

  • USD/CAD climbs, bolstered by elevated US Treasury bond yields, aiming for a daily close above 1.3450.
  • The USD/CAD bearish bias will resume below 1.3400, as sellers would eye the 200-DMA.

USD/CAD climbs in the mid-North American session and tests a six-month-old resistance trendline that passes at around 1.3440. Though the USD/CAD bias remains neutral-to-downward biased, it could shift neutral if the pair reclaims the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). At the time of writing, the USD/CAD is trading at 1.3444 after reaching a low of 1.3384.

USD/CAD Price Action

Given the backdrop, the USD/CAD could continue to rally and test the 20-day EMA at 1.3483 in the near term, which will immediately expose the 100-day EMA at 1.3500. Once that psychological resistance level is cleared, the bias shifts to neutral. A breach of the latter and the USD/CAD can test the 50-day EMA at 1.3525 before aiming for the 1.3600 figure.

Conversely, a USD/CAD bearish resumption will happen if the latest leg-up struggles to crack 1.3450. If that scenario plays out, coupled with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) staying in bearish territory, the USD/CAD could re-test 1.3400, followed by the 200-day EMA at 1.3378. A break below will turn the USD/CAD pair bearish and open the door to test the YTD low at 1.3262.

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3446
Today Daily Change0.0056
Today Daily Change %0.42
Today daily open1.339
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3515
Daily SMA501.3562
Daily SMA1001.3528
Daily SMA2001.3405
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.34
Previous Daily Low1.336
Previous Weekly High1.3554
Previous Weekly Low1.3301
Previous Monthly High1.3862
Previous Monthly Low1.3508
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3375
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3384
Daily Pivot Point S11.3367
Daily Pivot Point S21.3343
Daily Pivot Point S31.3327
Daily Pivot Point R11.3406
Daily Pivot Point R21.3423
Daily Pivot Point R31.3446

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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