|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Bears move in and eye a break of critical support

  • USD/CAD bulls look to the 50% mean reversion target of the bearish impulse.
  • Bears eye supports below 1.3300, targeting 1.3250/20 and then 1.3200 / 1.3150. 

USD/CAD has blown off on Tuesday as preliminary domestic data showed the economy growing at a slightly faster pace than the Bank of Canada expected in the fourth quarter. This brings us to the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday with the technicals well entrenched for a breakout to the downside if the market gets what it's looking for from the meeting. 

The following illustrates a bearish outlook for the short term to 1.3150 based on the daily and 4-hour charts: 

USD/CAD daily charts

Zoomed in ... 

USD/CAD has started to make its way to the bull cycle's supportive trendline by breaking down structures along the way. 

It failed to stay above the near-term bearish dynamic resistance as illustrated above which keeps the focus on the downside, for now. 

USD/CAD H4 charts

The price could stall here and correct towards the 50% mean reversion of the bearish impulse before meeting resistance again and dropping into test the supports below 1.3300, targetting 1.3250/20 and then 1.3200 /  1.3150. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with weekly lows near 1.1770

EUR/USD now comes under further selling pressure, breaking below the 1.1800 support to challenge the area of weekly throughs near 1.1770 on Thursday. The pair’s decline comes in response to marked gains in the US Dollar amid steady geopolitical tensions. Ealier in the day, the ECB’s Lagarde delivered cautious remarks, although the currency remained apathetic.

GBP/USD threatens the 200-day SMA near 1.3440

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Wednesday’s strong advance, coming under heavy pressure and retesting the 1.3440 zone, where the critical 200-day SMA is located. Cable’s deep pullback follows the strong gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold trims gains, slips back to around $5,170

Gold is now facing some downside pressure, hovering around the $5,170 region on Thursday. The yellow metal surrenders part of its earlier gains on the back of the resurgence of the buying interest in the Greenback. In the meantime, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to limit the downside potential for now.

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.