|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Bears move in and eye a break of critical support

  • USD/CAD bulls look to the 50% mean reversion target of the bearish impulse.
  • Bears eye supports below 1.3300, targeting 1.3250/20 and then 1.3200 / 1.3150. 

USD/CAD has blown off on Tuesday as preliminary domestic data showed the economy growing at a slightly faster pace than the Bank of Canada expected in the fourth quarter. This brings us to the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday with the technicals well entrenched for a breakout to the downside if the market gets what it's looking for from the meeting. 

The following illustrates a bearish outlook for the short term to 1.3150 based on the daily and 4-hour charts: 

USD/CAD daily charts

Zoomed in ... 

USD/CAD has started to make its way to the bull cycle's supportive trendline by breaking down structures along the way. 

It failed to stay above the near-term bearish dynamic resistance as illustrated above which keeps the focus on the downside, for now. 

USD/CAD H4 charts

The price could stall here and correct towards the 50% mean reversion of the bearish impulse before meeting resistance again and dropping into test the supports below 1.3300, targetting 1.3250/20 and then 1.3200 /  1.3150. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD keeps range near 1.1750 ahead of German/ EU PMI data

 EUR/USD maintains its range trade at around 1.1750 in European trading on Tuesday. The pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting a bunch of top-tier economic data releases from Germany, Eurozone and the US. The immediate focus is on the German and Eurozone preliminary PMI data. 

GBP/USD holds steady below 1.3400 after mixed UK labor data

GBP/USD is trading around a flat line below 1.3400 in the European session on Tuesday. The UK ILO Unemployment Rate rose to 5.1% in the quarter to October, meeting expectations, while the pay growth cooled down sligthly in the same period, doing little to affect the Pound Sterling.

Gold bulls move to the sidelines ahead of delayed US NFP report

Gold attracts some sellers during the Asian session on Tuesday and extends the overnight pullback from the $4,350 region, or the vicinity of the highest level since October 21, touched last week. The intraday downtick comes amid optimism over the Russia-Ukraine peace deal, which is seen undermining demand for the traditional safe-haven commodity. 

Sui Price Forecast: Sui slips below $1.50 as network demand and risk appetite wane

Sui remains under intense bearish pressure, extending losses by 1% at press time on Tuesday for the third straight day.

NFP preview: Complex data release will determine if Fed was right to cut rates

The long wait is over, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the US will release nonfarm payrolls reports for both November and October at 1330 GMT on Tuesday. The overall NFP figure for October is expected to be -10k, however, it is expected to be influenced by a massive 130k drop in federal department workers. 

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.