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USD/CAD Price Analysis: Attempts a bounce on 1.3100 after rising wedge breakdown

  • USD/CAD bounces back above 1.31 amid SMA bull cross.
  • The spot saw a rising wedge breakdown on the hourly chart.
  • 1.3127 likely to challenge the recovery from sub-1.31 levels.

USD/CAD is attempting a recovery from a drop below 1.3100, as the bulls fight back control amid a bounce in the US dollar across the board and a retracement in WTI’s rally.

From a near-terrn technical perspective, the spot found fresh bids just above the critical support of 1.3083. This could be mainly attributed to a bullish crossover spotted on the hourly chart.

The upward-sloping 100-hourly moving average (HMA) cut the horizontal 200-HMA from below, suggesting a likely bounce in the spot.

The hourly Relative Strength Index (RSI) also witnessed an uptick and inches towards the 50.00 level while within the bearish zone.

On the road to recovery, the confluence of the 21 and 50-HMAs at 1.3127 is likely to offer stiff resistance to the bulls. Further up, the rising trendline support now resistance at 1.3142 will be the level to beat for the buyers.

To the downside, acceptance below the abovementioned crucial support at 1.3083 is needed to reviving the bearish momentum.

The next significant support is seen at November 12 lows of 1.3056.

From a broader perspective, the risk remains to the downside, as the major has charted a rising wedge breakdown on the given timeframe, with a test of the measured target of 1.2885 likely on the cards in the week ahead.

USD/CAD: Hourly chart

USD/CAD: Additional levels

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3114
Today Daily Change-0.0029
Today Daily Change %-0.22
Today daily open1.3143
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3155
Daily SMA501.3205
Daily SMA1001.3282
Daily SMA2001.3539
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3173
Previous Daily Low1.3116
Previous Weekly High1.3173
Previous Weekly Low1.2928
Previous Monthly High1.339
Previous Monthly Low1.3081
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3151
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3138
Daily Pivot Point S11.3115
Daily Pivot Point S21.3088
Daily Pivot Point S31.3059
Daily Pivot Point R11.3171
Daily Pivot Point R21.32
Daily Pivot Point R31.3227

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

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