|

USD/CAD makes a sharp U-turn, slumps below 1.3430

  • Treasury Sec. Mnuchin says they are close to deal with Canada on tariffs.
  • BoC's core CPI drops to 1.5% in April.
  • US Dollar Index turns flat near 97.50 

The USD/CAD pair rose to a weekly high of 1.3493 in the early NA session but failed to push higher and changed its direction in the last hour to erase all of its daily gains. As of writing, the pair was down 0.2% on a daily basis at 1.3433.

Earlier today, Statistics Canada reported that inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, ticked up to 2% on a yearly basis in April and came in line with the market expectation. However, the Bank of Canada's core CPI, which strips volatile energy and food prices, fell to 1.5% and missed the analysts' estimate of 1.8%, suggesting that the BoC is unlikely to continue to hike rates in a soft inflation environment and weighed on the loonie. 

However, following the initial spike in reaction to the data, the pair made a sharp U-turn with the latest trade headlines helping the CAD gather strength. According to the Wall Street Journal, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin said they were close to an understanding with Mexico and Canada on resolving steel and aluminum tariffs. 

On the other hand, several news outlets reported that the Trump administration was planning to delay tariffs on European car imports to help the risk appetite return to markets and hurt the demand for the safer greenback. The US Dollar Index, which rose to 97.70 earlier in the session, erased its gains and turned flat near 97.50. Today's data from the U.S. showed that retail sales and industrial production both declined in April but was largely ignored by the markets.

On Thursday, manufacturing shipments and ADP employment change data from Canada will be looked upon for fresh impetus. The U.S. economic docket will feature weekly jobless claims and housing starts figures.

Technical levels to watch for

The pair could face the first hurdle at 1.3500 (psychological level) ahead of 1.3520 (Apr. 24 high) and 1.3600 (Dec. 21, 2018, high). On the downside, supports are located at 1.3425 (daily low), 1.3400 (50-DMA) and 1.3345 (Apr. 23 low).

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.