|

USD/CAD makes a sharp U-turn, slumps below 1.3430

  • Treasury Sec. Mnuchin says they are close to deal with Canada on tariffs.
  • BoC's core CPI drops to 1.5% in April.
  • US Dollar Index turns flat near 97.50 

The USD/CAD pair rose to a weekly high of 1.3493 in the early NA session but failed to push higher and changed its direction in the last hour to erase all of its daily gains. As of writing, the pair was down 0.2% on a daily basis at 1.3433.

Earlier today, Statistics Canada reported that inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, ticked up to 2% on a yearly basis in April and came in line with the market expectation. However, the Bank of Canada's core CPI, which strips volatile energy and food prices, fell to 1.5% and missed the analysts' estimate of 1.8%, suggesting that the BoC is unlikely to continue to hike rates in a soft inflation environment and weighed on the loonie. 

However, following the initial spike in reaction to the data, the pair made a sharp U-turn with the latest trade headlines helping the CAD gather strength. According to the Wall Street Journal, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin said they were close to an understanding with Mexico and Canada on resolving steel and aluminum tariffs. 

On the other hand, several news outlets reported that the Trump administration was planning to delay tariffs on European car imports to help the risk appetite return to markets and hurt the demand for the safer greenback. The US Dollar Index, which rose to 97.70 earlier in the session, erased its gains and turned flat near 97.50. Today's data from the U.S. showed that retail sales and industrial production both declined in April but was largely ignored by the markets.

On Thursday, manufacturing shipments and ADP employment change data from Canada will be looked upon for fresh impetus. The U.S. economic docket will feature weekly jobless claims and housing starts figures.

Technical levels to watch for

The pair could face the first hurdle at 1.3500 (psychological level) ahead of 1.3520 (Apr. 24 high) and 1.3600 (Dec. 21, 2018, high). On the downside, supports are located at 1.3425 (daily low), 1.3400 (50-DMA) and 1.3345 (Apr. 23 low).

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, back below 1.1800

EUR/USD now loses some upside momentum, returning to the area below the 1.1800 support as the Greenback manages to regain some composure following the SCOTUS-led pullback earlier in the session.

GBP/USD off highs, recedes to the sub-1.3500 area

Following earlier highs north of 1.3500 the figure, GBP/USD now faces some renewed downside pressure, revisiting the 1.3490 zone as the US Dollar manages to regain some upside impulse in the latter part of the NA session on Friday.

Gold climbs to weekly tops, approaches $5,100/oz

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place at the end of the week, now hitting fresh weekly highs and retargeting the key $5,100 mark per troy ounce. The move higher in the yellow metal comes in response to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and modest losses in the US Dollar.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound as risk appetite improves

Bitcoin rises marginally, nearing the immediate resistance of $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, hold key support levels as bulls aim to maintain marginal intraday gains.

Week ahead – Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.