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USD/CAD looks to close below 1.3150 on oil rally, dovish Fed

  • Fed says that it will stay patient on further rate hikes.
  • US Dollar Index falls sharply on the dovish shift in the language.
  • WTI settles above $54 on Wednesday.

The USD/CAD pair extended its daily slide and slumped to its lowest level since early November at 1.3118 before recovering modestly toward the end of the NA session. As of writing, the pair was down more than 100 pips on the day at 1.3146.

Although the greenback started to gather strength on the back of the upbeat ADP private sector employment report earlier in the session, the currency came under heavy selling pressure as the FOMC adopted a dovish tone in its policy statement and Chairman Powell confirmed the cautious stance. Commenting on today's FOMC event, "The reaction to the Fed decision usually lasts beyond the first hours. As analysts pore into the data and as their analysis pieces pour out, further responses could follow. There is no "hawkish silver lining" here," said FXStreet analyst Yohay Elam.

Meanwhile, the commodity-sensitive loonie took advantage of the rising crude oil prices on Wednesday and outperformed its rivals. With today's EIA report from the U.S. showing a smaller-than-expected increase in crude oil stocks, the barrel of West Texas Intermediate rose to its highest level in more than two months before settling 1.73% higher at $54.23.

Key technical levels

USD/CAD

Overview:
    Today Last Price: 1.3146
    Today Daily change %: -1.01%
    Today Daily Open: 1.328
Trends:
    Daily SMA20: 1.3311
    Daily SMA50: 1.338
    Daily SMA100: 1.3215
    Daily SMA200: 1.3125
Levels:
    Previous Daily High: 1.3287
    Previous Daily Low: 1.324
    Previous Weekly High: 1.3378
    Previous Weekly Low: 1.3224
    Previous Monthly High: 1.4134
    Previous Monthly Low: 1.316
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 1.3269
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 1.3258
    Daily Pivot Point S1: 1.3251
    Daily Pivot Point S2: 1.3222
    Daily Pivot Point S3: 1.3205
    Daily Pivot Point R1: 1.3298
    Daily Pivot Point R2: 1.3315
    Daily Pivot Point R3: 1.3344

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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