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USD/CAD keeps the red post-Canadian Retail Sales, holds above 1.2900 mark

  • USD/CAD witnessed some follow-through selling for the second straight day on Tuesday.
  • Rising oil prices, upbeat Canadian data underpinned the loonie and exerted pressure.
  • Rallying US bond yields acted as a tailwind for the USD and helped limit deeper losses.

The USD/CAD pair managed to find decent support near the 1.2900 mark on Tuesday and trimmed a part of its heavy intraday losses. The pair was seen trading around the 1.2935-1.2940 region during the early North American session, still down nearly 0.30% for the day.

Worries about tightening global supplies allowed crude oil prices to regain positive traction and move away from a one-month low, which, in turn, underpinned the commodity-linked loonie. The Canadian dollar drew additional support from upbeat domestic data, showing that Retail Sales recorded growth of 0.9% in April as against the previous month's upwardly revised reading of 0.2%. Excluding autos, core retail sales rose 1.3% during the reported month versus 0.6% anticipated.

That said, the emergence of some US dollar dip-buying offered some support to the USD/CAD pair. Expectations that the Fed would retain its aggressive policy tightening stance, along with the risk-on impulse, pushed the US Treasury bond yields higher. This, in turn, acted as a tailwind for the buck and helped limit deeper losses for the major. Spot prices, for now, seem to have stalled the recent pullback from the YTD peak, around the 1.3080 region touched last Friday.

It, however, remains to be seen if the USD/CAD pair is able to attract fresh buying as the focus now shifts to the latest Canadian consumer inflation figures, due for release on Wednesday. Investors will further take cues from Fed Chair Jerome Powell's two-day congressional testimony before placing directional bets. In the meantime, the broader risk sentiment and the US bond yields might influence the USD, which, along with oil price dynamics could provide some impetus to the pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2937
Today Daily Change-0.0043
Today Daily Change %-0.33
Today daily open1.298
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2755
Daily SMA501.2775
Daily SMA1001.272
Daily SMA2001.2672
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3039
Previous Daily Low1.2979
Previous Weekly High1.3079
Previous Weekly Low1.2774
Previous Monthly High1.3077
Previous Monthly Low1.2629
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3002
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3016
Daily Pivot Point S11.2959
Daily Pivot Point S21.2939
Daily Pivot Point S31.2899
Daily Pivot Point R11.302
Daily Pivot Point R21.306
Daily Pivot Point R31.308

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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