|

USD/CAD jumps to 1.3800 neighborhood as oil slump continues

The Canadian Dollar continues to lose ground against its US counterpart, with the USD/CAD pair hitting fresh 14-month highs and fast approaching the 1.3800 handle.

Currently trading around 1.3785-90 band, the ongoing slump in oil prices amid renewed fears of global supply glut, with WTI crude oil slammed below the $45.00/barrel mark, has been weighing heavily on the commodity-linked currency - Loonie, over the past three weeks.

   •  WTI slumps -3% in Asia, breaches $ 44 mark

With the Federal Reserve leaving doors open for two more interest rate-hike in 2017, diverging monetary policy stance between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada further collaborated to the pair's strong up-surge to the highest level since February 2016.

Investors on Friday will remain focused on the key monthly jobs report (NFP) from the US, which if reinforces market expectations for an eventual Fed rate-hike action at its June meeting should pave way for continuation of the pair's strong bullish momentum.

   •  US: Decent economic releases suggest economy recovering at moderate pace – ANZ

Technical levels to watch

Bulls would be eyeing for a sustained move beyond the 1.3800 handle, above which the pair is likely to accelerate the up-move towards 1.3840-45 horizontal resistance before eventually aiming to reclaim the 1.3900 handle.

On the flip side, any retracement below 1.3755-50 immediate support now seems to find fresh buying interest around the 1.3700 handle, which if broken is likely to trigger a near-term corrective slide towards 1.3630 horizontal support.

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1750 on first trading day of 2026

EUR/USD stays calm on Friday and trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1750 as trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).