|

USD/CAD jumps to 1.3800 neighborhood as oil slump continues

The Canadian Dollar continues to lose ground against its US counterpart, with the USD/CAD pair hitting fresh 14-month highs and fast approaching the 1.3800 handle.

Currently trading around 1.3785-90 band, the ongoing slump in oil prices amid renewed fears of global supply glut, with WTI crude oil slammed below the $45.00/barrel mark, has been weighing heavily on the commodity-linked currency - Loonie, over the past three weeks.

   •  WTI slumps -3% in Asia, breaches $ 44 mark

With the Federal Reserve leaving doors open for two more interest rate-hike in 2017, diverging monetary policy stance between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada further collaborated to the pair's strong up-surge to the highest level since February 2016.

Investors on Friday will remain focused on the key monthly jobs report (NFP) from the US, which if reinforces market expectations for an eventual Fed rate-hike action at its June meeting should pave way for continuation of the pair's strong bullish momentum.

   •  US: Decent economic releases suggest economy recovering at moderate pace – ANZ

Technical levels to watch

Bulls would be eyeing for a sustained move beyond the 1.3800 handle, above which the pair is likely to accelerate the up-move towards 1.3840-45 horizontal resistance before eventually aiming to reclaim the 1.3900 handle.

On the flip side, any retracement below 1.3755-50 immediate support now seems to find fresh buying interest around the 1.3700 handle, which if broken is likely to trigger a near-term corrective slide towards 1.3630 horizontal support.

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off lows, back above 1.3200

After bottoming out near 1.3160, GBP/USD manages to regain a bit of shine and reclaim the 1.3200 mark and beyond at the end of the week. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data seem to be helping the British Pound limit its losses, while the chaotic UK political environment keeps the bulls at bay for now.

EUR/USD looks consolidative around 1.1460

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound after slipping to a three-month low below 1.1420 at the end of the week. That said, the pair now looks to consolidate humble gains just above 1.1460 despite growing uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations, which keeps the US Dollar’s downside contained.

Gold slips back to six-day lows, targets $4,100

Gold retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, eroding gains seen in the first half of the week and approaching the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Indeed, the precious metal continues to face headwinds from the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation
Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."
The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.