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USD/CAD fluctuates in tight range below 1.3200 ahead of FOMC

  • Crude oil's rebound helped CAD recover its losses against USD.
  • US Dollar Index stays above 98 on Wednesday.
  • FOMC is expected to keep its policy rate unchanged.

After rising to its highest level in more than a month at 1.3206 on Tuesday, the USD/CAD pair lost its traction and closed the day in the negative territory as the decisive recovery witnessed in crude oil prices helped the commodity-sensitive CAD find demand. With the market action turning subdued ahead of the FOMC's monetary policy announcements, the pair is consolidation Tuesday's losses and was last seen trading at 1.3177, adding 0.16% o a daily basis.

The barrel of West Texas Intermediate, which erased nearly 8% in the last ten days on heightened fears over the negative effect of the coronavirus on oil demand, rose more than 2% on Tuesday and has been moving sideways near $54 since the start of the day on Wednesday.

Eyes on FOMC

On the other hand, the US Dollar Index is staying above the 98 handle and not allowing the pair to turn south. Later in the day, the FOMC will release its policy statement and Chairman Jerome Powell will be delivering his comments on the policy outlook in a press conference. 

Previewing this event, "it is too early for the Fed to react to the recent sell-off. During the Q&A session at the press conference starting 20:30 CET, Powell is likely to be asked about his views on the recent development but we expect him to state that it is one of the risks the Fed is monitoring," said Danska Bank analysts. "In other words, the Fed is probably not going to strike a dovish tone given the labour market continues to tighten and private consumption growth remains solid.”

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3177
Today Daily Change0.0011
Today Daily Change %0.08
Today daily open1.3166
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3063
Daily SMA501.3145
Daily SMA1001.3179
Daily SMA2001.3232
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3208
Previous Daily Low1.3164
Previous Weekly High1.3174
Previous Weekly Low1.3036
Previous Monthly High1.3322
Previous Monthly Low1.2951
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3181
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3191
Daily Pivot Point S11.3151
Daily Pivot Point S21.3135
Daily Pivot Point S31.3107
Daily Pivot Point R11.3195
Daily Pivot Point R21.3223
Daily Pivot Point R31.3239

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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