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USD/CAD extends losses, approaching 1.3500 ahead of Powell

  • The US Dollar drops further as US PCE confirms the disinflationary trend.
  • All eyes today are on Fed Powell's conference.
  • Soft Canadian data and lower oil prices are likely to weigh on the CAD.

The US Dollar was rejected at the 1.3625 resistance area on Thursday and resumed its broader downtrend against its Canadian counterpart reaching two-month lows near 1.3500 so far.

Lower inflation hints at end of the Fed's hiking cycle 

US PCE Prices Index data released on Thursday endorsed the lower inflation and softer macroeconomic scenario seen over the last week. This has boosted confidence that the Fed has reached its terminal rate and is acting as a headwind for US Dollar bulls.

Later today, Chairman Powell and other US Fewd officials are hitting the press and their comments will be observed with special interest. Any signal towards a dovish turn on the bank’s forward guidance is likely to increase bearish pressure on the pair.

In Canada November’s employment figures are expected to show that the labour market is softening, which, coupled with the weak GDP data seen on Thursday and the lower oil prices might keep CAD upside attempts limited.

Technical indicators are negative with the RSI still above oversold levels. The next supports are 1.3500 and the September 29 low at 1.3420. On the upside, resistances are at the mentioned 1.3615 and 1.3700.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3522
Today Daily Change-0.0047
Today Daily Change %-0.35
Today daily open1.3569
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3699
Daily SMA501.3685
Daily SMA1001.356
Daily SMA2001.3518
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3627
Previous Daily Low1.3552
Previous Weekly High1.3766
Previous Weekly Low1.3594
Previous Monthly High1.3899
Previous Monthly Low1.3541
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3581
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3598
Daily Pivot Point S11.3539
Daily Pivot Point S21.3508
Daily Pivot Point S31.3464
Daily Pivot Point R11.3613
Daily Pivot Point R21.3657
Daily Pivot Point R31.3687

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

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