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USD/CAD erases nearly 100 pips on Monday, steadies around 1.4100

  • US Dollar Index struggles to find direction on Monday.
  • WTI remains on track to post heavy losses.
  • BoC says business confidence deteriorates in first quarter.

Despite the poor performance of crude oil prices on Monday, the CAD gathered strength against the USD and dropped to a daily low of 1.4085. As of writing, the pair was trading at 1.4112, down 0.63%, or 90 pips, on the day.

CAD ignores WTI selloff

The upbeat market mood seems to be helping the loonie disregard the sharp drop in crude oil prices and find demand. After the OPEC+ emergency meeting got postponed to Thursday over the weekend, the barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) started to erase last week's recovery gains.

The uncertainty regarding a new OPEC+ output cut deal continues to weigh on WTI, which was last seen erasing 9.5% on the day at $26.05.

Meanwhile, global equity indexes' decisive rebound on signs of a slowdown in the rate of new coronavirus fatalities and infections in most affected regions seem to be helping risk-sensitive currencies outperform the greenback. After adding more than 2% last week, the US Dollar Index is staying relatively quiet near the 100.60 handle on Monday.

Earlier in the day, the Bank of Canada in its quarterly Business Outlook Survey noted that the business confidence was already deteriorating in the first quarter even before concerns over the coronavirus outbreak intensified. 

"Firms are taking a wait-and-see approach on capital expenditures; almost all firms in tourism and food-service cutting back on renovations and purchases of machinery and equipment etc. to preserve cash," the BoC added. However, the CAD didn't have a difficult time preserving its strength despite these remarks.

On Tuesday, the IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism data from the US and Ivery Purchasing PMI data from Canada will be featured in the economic docket. 

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.4117
Today Daily Change-0.0093
Today Daily Change %-0.65
Today daily open1.421
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.4123
Daily SMA501.3622
Daily SMA1001.3385
Daily SMA2001.3293
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.4225
Previous Daily Low1.4094
Previous Weekly High1.4349
Previous Weekly Low1.3983
Previous Monthly High1.4668
Previous Monthly Low1.3315
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.4175
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.4144
Daily Pivot Point S11.4128
Daily Pivot Point S21.4046
Daily Pivot Point S31.3998
Daily Pivot Point R11.4259
Daily Pivot Point R21.4307
Daily Pivot Point R31.4389

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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