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USD/CAD drifts higher to 1.3670 amid firmer US Dollar, hotter-than-expected US CPI data

  • USD/CAD trades on a stronger note around 1.3568 on the firmer US Dollar. 
  • The January Consumer Price Index (CPI) softened to 3.1% YoY in January from 3.4% in December, better than expected. 
  • A tight labor market in Canada might convince the BoC to push back their forecasts on rate cuts until June from April. 

The USD/CAD pair gains traction for the second consecutive day during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The uptick of the pair is bolstered by the US January Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data, which lifts the US Dollar (USD) and bond yields higher. USD/CAD currently trades near 1.3568, down 0.01% on the day. 

Data released from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on Tuesday reported that the CPI inflation softened to 3.1% YoY in January from 3.4% in December, beating the market expectation of 2.9%. Meanwhile, the Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, climbed 3.9% in the same period, above the market consensus of 3.7%. On a monthly basis, the CPI and the Core CPI rose 0.3% and 0.4%, respectively. 

The Canadian labor market data were unexpectedly strong, with 37,000 jobs increase that more than doubled forecasts. A healthier picture of the labor market might convince the Bank of Canada (BoC) to push back their forecasts on rate cuts until June from April. 

The BoC left the policy interest rate unchanged at 5.0% at its January meeting. Governor Tiff Macklem said that the central bank has shifted from debating whether interest rates are high enough, to how long the central bank needs to keep rates at current levels. Nonetheless, the timeline for interest rate cuts has not yet been indicated. 

Market players will keep an eye on the Canadian Housing Starts and Fed’s Goolsbee and Barr speeches on Wednesday. The Retail Sales and Producer Price Index (PPI) will be due later on Thursday and Friday, respectively. These figures could give a clear direction to the USD/CAD pair. 

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3565
Today Daily Change-0.0005
Today Daily Change %-0.04
Today daily open1.357
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3468
Daily SMA501.3418
Daily SMA1001.3553
Daily SMA2001.3477
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3586
Previous Daily Low1.3438
Previous Weekly High1.3544
Previous Weekly Low1.3413
Previous Monthly High1.3542
Previous Monthly Low1.3229
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3529
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3494
Daily Pivot Point S11.3476
Daily Pivot Point S21.3383
Daily Pivot Point S31.3328
Daily Pivot Point R11.3625
Daily Pivot Point R21.368
Daily Pivot Point R31.3773

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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