|

USD/CAD consolidates within previous ranges, with 1.3835 holding bulls

  • The US Dollar keeps moving within a tight range above 1.3800 ahead of the US PCE Inflation release.
  • Trade uncertainty and growing concerns about US debt are limiting the US Dollar's rallies.
  • In Canada, GDP data is expected to show that the economy lost steam in the first quarter.

The US Dollar is clinging to minor gains on Friday, with price action wavering within previous day’s ranges and the 4-hour RSI flat around the 50 level, which signals a lack of clear bias.

The Dollar whipsawed on Thursday before closing the day with a 0.2% decline, as a federal court paused a previous sentence from a lower court blocking most of the trade tariffs introduced by the US President Trump on April 2.

The decision dampened market enthusiasm for a normalisation of global trade and revived fears that higher prices for imported goods will boost inflation and slow down growth, leading to stagflation and posing a serious challenge for the Fed.

Trade uncertainty and debt woes are weighing on the USD

Recent data underscored those concerns. The US GDP confirmed that the economy contracted in the first quarter, and weekly Jobless Claims increased against expectations. This, coupled with a sweeping tax bill that is expected to boost an already high US debt, is expected to weigh on the USD in the mid-term.

The focus today is on the US PCE Prices Index release, which is expected to show some cooling in yearly inflation, 2.2% from 2.3% in March, while the core reading is seen easing to 2.5% from the previous 2.6%. Monthly inflation is seen picking up 0.1%, in both cases, after a flat reading in March.  


In Canada, the focus will be on the first quarter’s GDP inflation figures, which are expected to show a slowdown to a 1.7% annualized growth from the previous quarter’s 2.6% reading.

Canadian Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Canadian Dollar (CAD) against listed major currencies today. Canadian Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.32%0.10%-0.12%0.01%0.34%0.10%0.15%
EUR-0.32%-0.20%-0.47%-0.31%0.06%0.10%-0.17%
GBP-0.10%0.20%-0.27%-0.10%0.27%0.13%0.04%
JPY0.12%0.47%0.27%0.14%0.56%0.38%0.34%
CAD-0.01%0.31%0.10%-0.14%0.42%0.21%0.14%
AUD-0.34%-0.06%-0.27%-0.56%-0.42%0.04%-0.23%
NZD-0.10%-0.10%-0.13%-0.38%-0.21%-0.04%-0.27%
CHF-0.15%0.17%-0.04%-0.34%-0.14%0.23%0.27%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Canadian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CAD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps range near mid-0.7100s as USD bulls await US CPI

AUD/USD steadies near mid-0.7100s in the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's sharp decline to an over one-week low. The August PPI report reaffirmed Fed rate-hike bets and boosted the US Dollar on Thursday, which weighed heavily on the pair. However, hawkish RBA expectations limited losses for the Aussie as USD bulls now await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing fresh bets.

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00; looks to US CPI

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00 in the Asian session on Friday after hot Japanese PPI data bolster a more hawkish BoJ repricing and provide fresh impetus to the Japanese Yen. However, the downside appears capped as the US Dollar preserves overnight gains ahead of the latest US consumer inflation data.

Gold: Will US CPI inflation revive the uptrend?
Gold is hanging close to one-week lows near $4,310 early Friday, nursing heavy losses after the US Producer Price Index (PPI) data release and the recent upsurge in Oil prices. Gold is looking to recover a part of the previous heavy losses as traders resort to repositioning ahead of the all-important US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report.
Bitcoin slips below $77,000 – Raydium, Falcon Finance hold gains

Bitcoin price trades below $77,000 on Friday, extending its capitulation from the previous week’s high at $82,300. Broader market consensus points to a higher likelihood that the US Federal Reserve could raise interest rates at the September meeting, as inflation concerns rise amid the war with Iran.

Dollar comeback case 'a decent one' – September Fed hike 'back in play'
The dollar was left nursing heavy losses against most of its major peers after last month’s Treasury buyback wobble. Notwithstanding this, we think that the case for a near-term bounce in the greenback is a decent one. Warsh's hawkish pivot at Jackson Hole, followed by what was a blowout US payrolls report for August, has put a September rate hike from the Fed back in play.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.