USD/CAD consolidates near multi-month lows, below mid-1.3200s

  • USD/CAD was seen oscillating in a range below mid-1.3200s on Thursday.
  • The USD remained depressed amid the impasse over the US fiscal stimulus.
  • A modest pullback in oil prices undermined the loonie and helped limit losses.

The USD/CAD pair now seems to have entered a bearish consolidation phase and was seen oscillating in a range near six-month lows, below mid-1.3200s.

A combination of diverging forces failed to provide any meaningful impetus to the major, instead led to a subdued/range-bound price action through the early European session on Thursday. The US dollar remained depressed in the wake of the impasse over the next round of the US fiscal stimulus measures.

This coupled with a fresh leg down in the US Treasury bond yields exerted some additional pressure on the greenback. However, a softer tone around crude oil prices undermined the commodity-linked currency – the loonie – and helped limit deeper losses for the USD/CAD pair, at least for the time being.

Oil prices slipped around 0.50% on Thursday after the OPEC – in its monthly report – said that the fuel demand could fall more than expected. The statement overshadowed the US government data, which showed a fall in inventories and suggested that demand is returning despite the coronavirus pandemic.

Looking at the technical picture, the pair has been trending lower along a downward sloping channel over the past one month or so. The formation points to a well-established bearish trend and supports prospects for an extension of the recent bearish trajectory, even below the 1.3200 mark.

Moving ahead, market participants now look forward to the release of the US Initial Weekly Jobless Claims. The data will influence the USD price dynamics and produce some short-term trading opportunities later during the early North American session on Thursday.

Technical levels to watch


Today last price 1.3241
Today Daily Change -0.0005
Today Daily Change % -0.04
Today daily open 1.3246
Daily SMA20 1.3393
Daily SMA50 1.3493
Daily SMA100 1.374
Daily SMA200 1.3532
Previous Daily High 1.3347
Previous Daily Low 1.3229
Previous Weekly High 1.3451
Previous Weekly Low 1.3234
Previous Monthly High 1.3646
Previous Monthly Low 1.3331
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3274
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3302
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3201
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3156
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3083
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3319
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3392
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3437



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