- USD/CAD regains positive traction on Wednesday and is supported by a combination of factors.
- Bearish oil prices undermine the loonie and act as a tailwind amid a pickup in the USD demand.
- Traders now look to the Canadian CPI report and the US housing market data for a fresh impetus.
The USD/CAD pair attracts fresh buying near the 1.3720-1.3715 region on Wednesday and maintains its bid tone through the first half of the European session. The pair is currently trading near the 1.3770-1.3765 area and seems poised to build on the previous day's bounce from over a one-week low.
The rising possibility of a global recession raises concerns about the outlook for energy demand and continues to weigh on crude oil prices. This is seen undermining the commodity-linked loonie, which, along with a goodish pickup in the US dollar demand, turn out to be key factors lending support to the USD/CAD pair.
Firming expectations for a more aggressive policy tightening by the Fed triggers a fresh leg up in the US Treasury bond yields and assists the US dollar to regain some positive traction. In fact, the current market pricing indicates a nearly 100% chance of another supersized 75 bps Fed rate hike in November.
The bets were reaffirmed by the overnight hawkish remarks by Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, reiterating the US central bank's commitment to bring inflation under control. Kashkari noted that the benchmark policy rate could rise above 4.75% if underlying inflation does not stop rising.
Apart from this, a turnaround in the global risk sentiment provides an additional lift to the safe-haven buck and remains supportive of the bid tone surrounding the USD/CAD pair. The market sentiment remains fragile amid worries that rapidly rising borrowing costs might lead to a deeper economic downturn.
Furthermore, concerns about economic headwinds stemming from the protracted Russia-Ukraine war and China's strict zero-COVID policy keep a lid on the recent optimistic move in the equity markets. Despite the supporting factors, the USD/CAD pair, so far, has been struggling to gain any meaningful traction.
Traders now seem reluctant and prefer to wait for the release of the latest Canadian consumer inflation figures. The US economic docket features housing market data - Building Permits and Housing Starts. This might provide some impetus to the USD/CAD pair later during the early North American session.
Technical levels to watch
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD hovers above 1.0500 amid French political jitters
EUR/USD is trading modestly flat above 1.0500 in the early European morning on Wednesday. The pair gyrates in a familiar range amid a broadly stable US Dollar and French political uncertainty, as the government faces a no-confidence vote in a busy day ahead.
GBP/USD clings to gains below 1.2700 ahead of Bailey's speech
GBP/USD is consolidating gains below 1.2700 in early European trading on Wednesday. Traders refrain from placing fresh bets ahead of speeches from BoE Governor Bailey and Fed Chair Powell later in the day. US ADP Jobs and ISM Services PMI data are also awaited.
Gold awaits Fed Chair Powell’s speech for a fresh directional impetus
Gold price is holding onto minor bids early Wednesday, struggling to build on the previous bounce, anticipating a fresh batch of top-tier US economic data releases and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech.
Cryptomarket stabilizes after South Korea reverses martial law
Bitcoin hovers near $95,700 on Wednesday, signaling potential weakness as technical indicators suggest a decline, while Ethereum and Ripple stabilize near key levels, hinting at a possible rally following South Korea's reversal of martial law.
The fall of Barnier’s government would be bad news for the French economy
This French political stand-off is just one more negative for the euro. With the eurozone economy facing the threat of tariffs in 2025 and the region lacking any prospect of cohesive fiscal support, the potential fall of the French government merely adds to views that the ECB will have to do the heavy lifting in 2025.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.