|

USD/CAD climbs to multi-day high amid sliding oil prices, modest USD rebound

  • A combination of supporting factors pushes USD/CAD higher for the second straight day.
  • Weaker oil prices undermine the loonie and offer support amid a modest USD rebound.
  • Recession fears weigh on investors’ sentiment and seem to benefit the safe-haven buck.

The USD/CAD pair builds on the overnight goodish bounce from its lowest level since June 10 and gains traction for the second successive day on Tuesday. The momentum lifts spot prices to a four-day high, around the 1.2875-1.2880 region during the early North American session, though lacks follow-through.

Crude oil prices remain on the defensive near a two-and-half-week low, which continues to undermine the commodity-linked loonie and act as a tailwind for the USD/CAD pair. The worsening global economic outlook, along with the recent COVID-19 outbreak in China, raises concerns about the fuel demand and is weighing on the black liquid.

The US dollar, on the other hand, stages a modest bounce from its lowest level since July 5 and offers additional support to the USD/CAD pair. The market sentiment remains fragile amid recession fears and mounting diplomatic tensions ahead of US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's planned Taiwan visit. This, in turn, benefits the safe-haven buck.

The anti-risk flow, along with expectations that the Fed would not hike interest rates as aggressively as estimated, continued dragging the US Treasury bond yields lower. This might hold back the USD bulls from positioning for any further recovery and keep a lid on any meaningful upside for the USD/CAD pair, at least for the time being.

Market participants now look forward to the release of the US JOLTS Job Openings data. This, along with the US bond yields and the broader risk sentiment, might influence the USD and provide some impetus to the USD/CAD pair. Traders would also take cues from oil price dynamics to grab short-term opportunities around the USD/CAD pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2869
Today Daily Change0.0024
Today Daily Change %0.19
Today daily open1.2845
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2933
Daily SMA501.2856
Daily SMA1001.2777
Daily SMA2001.2726
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2856
Previous Daily Low1.2768
Previous Weekly High1.2947
Previous Weekly Low1.2789
Previous Monthly High1.3224
Previous Monthly Low1.2789
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2822
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2801
Daily Pivot Point S11.279
Daily Pivot Point S21.2734
Daily Pivot Point S31.2701
Daily Pivot Point R11.2878
Daily Pivot Point R21.2912
Daily Pivot Point R31.2967

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with weekly lows near 1.1770

EUR/USD now comes under further selling pressure, breaking below the 1.1800 support to challenge the area of weekly throughs near 1.1770 on Thursday. The pair’s decline comes in response to marked gains in the US Dollar amid steady geopolitical tensions. Ealier in the day, the ECB’s Lagarde delivered cautious remarks, although the currency remained apathetic.

GBP/USD threatens the 200-day SMA near 1.3440

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Wednesday’s strong advance, coming under heavy pressure and retesting the 1.3440 zone, where the critical 200-day SMA is located. Cable’s deep pullback follows the strong gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold trims gains, slips back to around $5,170

Gold is now facing some downside pressure, hovering around the $5,170 region on Thursday. The yellow metal surrenders part of its earlier gains on the back of the resurgence of the buying interest in the Greenback. In the meantime, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to limit the downside potential for now.

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.