|

USD/CAD: Break under 1.3500 would imply downside potential to 1.3425 – Scotiabank

CAD needs to push below 1.35 against the USD to improve, economists at Scotiabank report.

Recent rally is running out of momentum

Monday’s snap higher off the intraday low for the USD retested the break under trend support that the market had established earlier in the session. Trend support-turned-resistance effectively held but easy gains for the USD remain a feature of this market and gives the clear impression that higher is the path of least resistance for USD/CAD. 

But there are signs from daily price action (after the USD still closed net lower on the day Monday) that the recent rally in the USD is running out of momentum. 

The 1.3575 zone is resistance and a potential double top; a break under 1.3500 triggers that signal and implies downside potential to 1.3425. 

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD extends slide below 1.1700

The EUR/USD pair nears its weekly low at around 1.1660 in the American session on Tuesday, retreating from the 1.1750 price zone tested earlier in the day. Cautiously optimistic markets support the US Dollar in the near term.

GBP/USD consolidates around 1.3500; looks to US macro data for fresh impetus

The GBP/USD pair oscillates in a narrow range, around the 1.3500 psychological mark during the Asian session on Wednesday, and for now, seems to have stalled the previous day's retracement slide from its highest level since September 18. Moreover, the fundamental backdrop seems tilted in favor of bullish traders and suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the upside.

Gold extends upside to near $4,500 on Venezuela turmoil

Gold price climbs to near $4,500 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The precious metal rises by more than 1% in the day as geopolitical tensions and expectations of US rate cuts keep demand for gold high. The US ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index report will be published on Wednesday. 

Pump.fun prepares for early-year rally as DEX volume skyrockets

Pump.fun (PUMP) is rising alongside crypto majors such as Bitcoin (BTC) and is trading above $0.002400 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The Decentralized Exchange (DEX) native token outlook builds on a bullish tone developed since December 30.

Implications of US intervention in Venezuela

Events in Venezuela are top of mind for market participants, and while developments are associated with an elevated degree of uncertainty, we are not making any changes to our markets or economic forecasts as a result of the deposition of Nicolás Maduro. 

Cardano holds steady as bulls intensify push for breakout

Cardano rises above the 50-day EMA resistance amid a risk-on mood across the crypto market. The MACD upholds positive divergence, increasing the potential for a 20% breakout to $0.505.