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USD/CAD bounces off two-week lows, back around mid-1.2600s

  • A modest pickup in the USD demand assisted USD/CAD to bounce off the 1.2600 neighbourhood.
  • Bullish oil prices continued underpinning the loonie and might keep a lid on any strong move up.
  • Investors eye the US Durable Goods Orders and speeches by FOMC members for a fresh impetus.

The USD/CAD pair managed to recover over 35 pips from near two-week lows and was last seen hovering near the top end of its daily trading range, around mid-1.2600s.

The pair extended its recent retracement slide from the vicinity of the 1.2900 mark and dropped to the 1.2600 neighbourhood during the early part of the trading action on Monday. An extension of the recent bullish run in crude oil prices to the highest level since July continued underpinning the commodity-linked loonie and exerted some pressure on the USD/CAD pair. However, a modest pickup in the US dollar demand helped limit any further losses, rather assisted the pair to attract some dip-buying at lower levels.

Worries about potential risks from the debt crisis at China Evergrande Group resurfaced after a deadline for paying $83.5 million in bond interest passed without any remarks from the company. Apart from this, prospects for an early rate hike by the Fed continued acting as a tailwind for the greenback. It is worth recalling that the Fed's so-called dot plot indicated policymakers' inclination to raise interest rates in 2022. This helped offset a pullback in the US Treasury bond yields and revived the USD demand.

It, however, remains to be seen if the USD/CAD pair is able to capitalize on the move or meet with some fresh supply at higher levels. Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, highlighting the release of Durable Goods Orders later during the early North American session. Apart from this, the US bond yields and speeches by a slew of influential FOMC members will influence the USD. Traders might further take cues from oil price dynamics to grab some short-term opportunities around the USD/CAD pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2646
Today Daily Change-0.0006
Today Daily Change %-0.05
Today daily open1.2652
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2665
Daily SMA501.2619
Daily SMA1001.2431
Daily SMA2001.2524
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2731
Previous Daily Low1.2641
Previous Weekly High1.2896
Previous Weekly Low1.2634
Previous Monthly High1.2949
Previous Monthly Low1.2453
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2675
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2696
Daily Pivot Point S11.2618
Daily Pivot Point S21.2585
Daily Pivot Point S31.2529
Daily Pivot Point R11.2708
Daily Pivot Point R21.2764
Daily Pivot Point R31.2798

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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