|

US: Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index rises to 27.4 in March vs. 15.0 expected

  • The headline Philly Fed Manufacturing Index rose to 27.4 in March from 16.0 in February versus an expected decline. 
  • FX markets did not see much of a reaction to the latest batch of US data.

According to a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia released on Thursday, the headline Manufacturing Activity Index of the Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey rose to 27.4 in March from 16.0 in February. That was significantly better than the expected decline to 15.0.

Subindices:

  • The Business Conditions Index fell to 22.7 from 28.1. 
  • The CAPEX Index rose to 24.8 from 21.50. 
  • The Employment Index rose to 38.9 from 32.3, a new record high. 
  • The New Orders Index rose to 25.8 from 14.2.
  • The Prices Paid Index rose sharply to 81.0 from 69.3, its highest level since 1979.

Market Reaction

FX markets did not see much of a reaction to the latest batch of US data, which was broadly stronger than expected, but won't change much for the Fed. 

Author

Joel Frank

Joel Frank

Independent Analyst

Joel Frank is an economics graduate from the University of Birmingham and has worked as a full-time financial market analyst since 2018, specialising in the coverage of how developments in the global economy impact financial asset

More from Joel Frank
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1750 as traders await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair holds steady near 1.1770 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Traders continue to price in the prospect of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve in 2026, following the 25-basis-point rate reduction delivered at the December meeting. The release of the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold holds above $4,300 after setting yet another record high

Spot Gold traded as high as $4,550 a troy ounce on Monday, fueled by persistent US Dollar weakness and a dismal mood. The XAU/USD pair was hit sharply by profit-taking during US trading hours and retreated towards $4,300, where buyers reappeared.

Ethereum: BitMine continues accumulation, begins staking ETH holdings

Ethereum treasury firm BitMine Immersion continued its ETH buying spree despite the seasonal holiday market slowdown. The company acquired 44,463 ETH last week, pushing its total holdings to 4.11 million ETH or 3.41% of Ethereum's circulating supply, according to a statement on Monday. That figure is over 50% lower than the amount it purchased the previous week.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).