|

US: NY Empire State Manufacturing Index slumps to -11.6 in May vs. expected drop to 15.5

  • The headline NY Fed Manufacturing Index slumped to -11.60 in May from 24.6 in April, much bigger than the expected drop. 
  • The subindices were mixed and the US dollar seemed to weaken a tad. 

The headline General Business Conditions Index of the NY Fed's Empire State Manufacturing Survey slumped to -11.60 in May from 24.60 in April. That was much larger than the expected drop to 17.00 and marked the largest miss on expectations since April 2020, when the pandemic first struck the US. 

Subindices:

  • The New Orders Index fell to -8.8 in May from 25.1 in April. 
  • The Prices Paid Index fell to 73.7 from 86.4. 
  • The Employment Index rose to 14.0 from 7.3. 
  • The Six-Month Business Conditions Index rose to 18.0 from 15.2. 

Market Reaction

The DXY saw some weakness in wake of the latest NY Fed data, though remains reasonably well supported in the mid-104.00s. The data has resulted in heightened calls that the US might be in/going into a recession. 

Author

Joel Frank

Joel Frank

Independent Analyst

Joel Frank is an economics graduate from the University of Birmingham and has worked as a full-time financial market analyst since 2018, specialising in the coverage of how developments in the global economy impact financial asset

More from Joel Frank
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.