US Dollar expands gains after Beige Book report


  • A sharp recovery in US Dollar triggered by cautious market sentiment.
  • Bets for interest rate cut at the September Fed meeting continue to receive pressure from Fed officials.
  • US Treasury yields also fuel recovery in USD with 2-year yield rising to 5.00%.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing a sharp recovery, hovering around the 105.00 mark on Wednesday. Amid this climate, investors remain risk-averse. As Federal Reserve (Fed) officials’ continuous asking for patience has resulted in reduced bets on a rate cut for the upcoming September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) session. As a reaction, US Treasury yields recovered.

As the US economy remains strong, the likelihood of cuts in June and July remains low, with markets keenly looking forward to data that would aid in placing bets for the September meeting.

Daily digest market movers: DXY recovers as markets await drivers

  • Investor expectations see a rate cut to start in the last quarter of the year.
  • The Fed Beige book report from April to mid-May showed that national economic activity saw slight growth, with mixed conditions across industries and districts; retail and auto sales were flat, but travel and tourism strengthened.
  • The report also stated that employment rose slightly, wage growth was moderate, and prices increased modestly as consumers resisted further price hikes.
  • In addition, housing demand rose modestly, commercial real estate softened, and overall economic outlooks became more pessimistic amid rising uncertainty.
  • US Treasury yields soared and the 2-year yield rose to 5%, while the 5 and 10-year rates gained to 4.63% and 4.62%, respectively.

DXY technical analysis: US Dollar makes remarkable recovery, bulls aim to consolidate above 105.00

The daily chart indicators signify a recovery in the DXY. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) rose above the 50 level, indicating reduced selling pressure and a potential shift in momentum. To further establish bullish momentum, the DXY managed to regain territory above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) displays fading red bars, suggesting a potential end of the bearish trend and an onset of bullish sentiment. For the bulls to continue gaining ground, consolidation above 105.00 would be required.

 

Fed FAQs

Monetary policy in the US is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, it raises interest rates, increasing borrowing costs throughout the economy. This results in a stronger US Dollar (USD) as it makes the US a more attractive place for international investors to park their money. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates to encourage borrowing, which weighs on the Greenback.

The Federal Reserve (Fed) holds eight policy meetings a year, where the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) assesses economic conditions and makes monetary policy decisions. The FOMC is attended by twelve Fed officials – the seven members of the Board of Governors, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and four of the remaining eleven regional Reserve Bank presidents, who serve one-year terms on a rotating basis.

In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve may resort to a policy named Quantitative Easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used during crises or when inflation is extremely low. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy high grade bonds from financial institutions. QE usually weakens the US Dollar.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process of QE, whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing, to purchase new bonds. It is usually positive for the value of the US Dollar.

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD: Gains look capped near 0.6800

AUD/USD: Gains look capped near 0.6800

AUD/USD lost ground for the third session in a row and revisited the 0.6720-0.6715 band following the generalized bearish performance of commodities and ahead of the key release of the Australian labour market report.

AUD/USD News

EUR/USD keeps the bid tone in place ahead of ECB

EUR/USD keeps the bid tone in place ahead of ECB

EUR/USD added to Tuesday’s advance and rose to new highs around 1.0950 in response to extra weakness in the Greenback and rising expectations prior to the ECB gathering on Thursday.

EUR/USD News

Gold retreats from record highs, retains the bullish stance

Gold retreats from record highs, retains the bullish stance

Gold trades flat on the day below $2,470 after touching a new record high above $2,480 in the Asian session on Wednesday. The modest recovery seen in the US Treasury bond yields causes XAU/USD to consolidate its gains.

Gold News

Ripple extends gains as XRP traders await end of SEC vs. Ripple lawsuit

Ripple extends gains as XRP traders await end of SEC vs. Ripple lawsuit

Ripple (XRP), XRP Ledger’s native token, extended gains by nearly 7% on Wednesday. The sixth largest asset by market capitalization rallied for the tenth consecutive day and erased all losses from the last 99 days. 

Read more

Divergence in US Indices can’t last for long

Divergence in US Indices can’t last for long

US equity indices have been in a state of surprising divergence for over a week, with the Dow Jones and Russell 2000 shooting up, the Nasdaq-100 working its way down, and the S&P500 treading water.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures