|

US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Tests nine-day EMA support near 99.00

  • US Dollar Index may find initial resistance at the eight-week high of 99.57.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index at 58.57 signals bullish momentum.
  • The immediate support lies at the nine-day EMA of 99.06.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is losing ground after two days of gains and trading around 99.20 during the European hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows that the dollar index moves upward within the ascending channel pattern, suggesting a persistent bullish bias.

The US Dollar Index holds above the rising nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 50-day EMA, keeping the short-term bias positive. The short-term average above the medium-term average reinforces upside control. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 58.57 shows bullish momentum while remaining below the overbought threshold.

Immediate resistance aligns at the eight-week high of 99.57, recorded on December 2, followed by the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 99.70. A close through the channel barrier could extend gains toward the next cap at the seven-month high of 100.26, which was recorded on August 1.

On the downside, the US Dollar Index tests the immediate support at the nine-day EMA of 99.06, aligned with the psychological level of 99.00. A break below this level would weaken the short-term price momentum and expose the confluence support zone around the 50-day EMA at 98.80 and the lower ascending channel boundary around 98.60. Further declines would target the region around the 97.75, the lowest since October 25.

US Dollar Index: Daily Chart

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the weakest against the Swiss Franc.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.16%-0.17%-0.02%-0.18%-0.14%-0.35%-0.42%
EUR0.16%-0.02%0.17%-0.02%0.02%-0.20%-0.26%
GBP0.17%0.02%0.19%-0.00%0.03%-0.18%-0.24%
JPY0.02%-0.17%-0.19%-0.19%-0.14%-0.36%-0.42%
CAD0.18%0.02%0.00%0.19%0.04%-0.17%-0.24%
AUD0.14%-0.02%-0.03%0.14%-0.04%-0.22%-0.28%
NZD0.35%0.20%0.18%0.36%0.17%0.22%-0.06%
CHF0.42%0.26%0.24%0.42%0.24%0.28%0.06%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays well offered below 1.1800

The selling pressure on EUR/USD is picking up pace, with the pair slipping decisively below the key 1.1800 level and sliding to fresh two week lows as Wednesday’s session draws to a close. The move lower comes as the US Dollar finds renewed strength after the latest round of US data and the release of the FOMC Minutes. Next of note on the docket will be the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims.
 

GBP/USD reaches multi-day lows near 1.3500

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, approaching the 1.3500 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold battle to regain $5,000 continues

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and challenging two-day highs near the $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Australia unemployment rate set to edge up within overall strong labor market

The Australian monthly employment report is scheduled for release on Thursday at 00:30 GMT, and market participants anticipate a modest increase in jobs in January. The Australian Bureau of Statistics is expected to announce that the country added 20K new jobs in the month, while the Unemployment Rate is forecast at 4.2%, up from the 4.1% posted in December.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.