|

US Dollar Index Price Analysis: Tough barrier now emerged around 96.00

  • DXY extends the recovery in the second half of the week.
  • The index faltered once again around the 96.00 region.

DXY now alternates gains with losses after failing to surpass the key barrier at 96.00 earlier in the session.

The inability of the index to garner convincing upside traction, ideally in the short term, could prompt sellers to return to the market. That scenario should force the dollar to initially retest the so far monthly low at 95.13 (February 4) ahead of the 2022 low at 94.62 (January 14).

In the near term, the 5-month line near 95.20 is expected to hold the downside for the time being. Looking at the broader picture, the longer-term positive stance in the dollar remains unchanged above the 200-day SMA at 93.59.

DXY daily chart

Dollar Index Spot

Overview
Today last price95.79
Today Daily Change41
Today Daily Change %0.11
Today daily open95.68
 
Trends
Daily SMA2095.9
Daily SMA5096
Daily SMA10095.31
Daily SMA20093.6
 
Levels
Previous Daily High96
Previous Daily Low95.17
Previous Weekly High97.26
Previous Weekly Low95.14
Previous Monthly High97.44
Previous Monthly Low94.63
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%95.69
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%95.49
Daily Pivot Point S195.24
Daily Pivot Point S294.79
Daily Pivot Point S394.41
Daily Pivot Point R196.07
Daily Pivot Point R296.45
Daily Pivot Point R396.89

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).