|

US dollar index in bearish consolidation sub-97.00 ahead of dovish Fed hike

The US dollar index, the greenback when measured against a basket of six major currencies, resumed its bearish momentum in Wednesday’s European trading, following a temporary reversal seen in the US last session.

The USD bears fought back control and dragged the rates back below the 97 handle before consolidating the latest leg down near the 96.85 region. Markets await the FOMC verdict and the Statement of Economic Projections (SEP), due later today at 1900 GMT, for the next push lower.

The greenback got thrashed so far this week on the back of the increased expectations of a dovish Fed rate hike. It’s widely expected that the Fed will lift borrowing costs by 25bps to a range of between 2.25-2.50%, which would make it the fourth rate hike of this year.

However, mounting global economic slowdown worries combined with trade war risks and lower inflationary pressures, the Fed is likely to signal fewer rate hikes next year and could hint an earlier end to its monetary tightening. This is the main reason why the USD sellers continue to lurk, despite the recent rout in the global equity markets.

US dollar index Technical Levels

Dollar Index Spot

Overview:
    Today Last Price: 96.81
    Today Daily change: -25 pips
    Today Daily change %: -0.258%
    Today Daily Open: 97.06
Trends:
    Previous Daily SMA20: 97.01
    Previous Daily SMA50: 96.58
    Previous Daily SMA100: 95.9
    Previous Daily SMA200: 94.32
Levels:
    Previous Daily High: 97.17
    Previous Daily Low: 96.7
    Previous Weekly High: 97.71
    Previous Weekly Low: 96.36
    Previous Monthly High: 97.7
    Previous Monthly Low: 95.68
    Previous Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 96.88
    Previous Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 96.99
    Previous Daily Pivot Point S1: 96.78
    Previous Daily Pivot Point S2: 96.51
    Previous Daily Pivot Point S3: 96.31
    Previous Daily Pivot Point R1: 97.25
    Previous Daily Pivot Point R2: 97.45
    Previous Daily Pivot Point R3: 97.72

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD weakens to two-week lows near 1.3520

GBP/USD trades on the back foot, returning to the low 1.3500s, or two-week troughs, on Tuesday. Cable’s bearish price action follows decent gains in the Greenback at the time when investors assess latest US data releases and the persistent uncertainty in the US-Iran crisis.

EUR/USD remains offered; breaks below 1.1600

EUR/USD now accelerates its daily correction, breaching below the key 1.1600 support level on Tuesday. The pair’s daily correction comes on the back of a decent bounce in the US Dollar despite disappointing US data releases and amid persistent geopolitical concerns.

Gold flirts with multi-week lows near $4,300

Gold accelerates its correction and recedes toward the key $4,300 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. The yellow metal’s persistent decline comes in response to the solid performance of the US Dollar and a sharp move higher in US Treasury yields across the curve.

RBNZ set to raise interest rate to 2.75%
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is on track to deliver a follow-through interest rate hike, raising the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by another 25 basis points (bps) from 2.50% to 2.75% on Wednesday. Experts expect a consensus decision this week, unlike a deeply divided outcome predicted during the July monetary policy meeting.
Global bond market sell off haunts markets

Global sovereign bonds are selling off as we start a new month. The UK is, unsurprisingly, taking the biggest hit. Two and 10-year yields rose by 10 basis points at one point on Tuesday, and are currently higher by 7 and 8bps respectively.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.