US: CPI momentum is still favouring the hawks – Deutsche Bank

Analysts at Deutsche Bank explains that US CPI data which was in-line +0.2% mom core print meant that the annual rate also held at +1.8% yoy for the third consecutive month.

Key Quotes

“The unrounded reading was +0.182%, so the overall feeling was that it largely mirrored the marginally softer earnings number on Friday. However, momentum is still favouring the hawks with the three-month annualized rate now up to +3.1% and the highest since 2007. The six-month annualized rate is also at a robust +2.5%. That should be comforting to a Fed which is targeting the gradual approach for now though. As a reminder that is the last CPI report that the Fed will see prior to the FOMC meeting next week however they will benefit from the release of the February PPI data today. Expectations for that is also for a +0.2% mom core reading while the headline is expected to show a +0.1% mom rise in producer prices.”