|

Turkish Lira crash hits Japanese retailers - Nikkei Review

According to the Nikkei Asia Review, Japanese retail investors have taken a large hit from the collapse of the TRY, which was a hugely popular choice among Japanese cash holders.

Key quotes

"The Turkish lira's plunge has dealt a blow to Japanese individual investors who had snapped up bonds and mutual funds denominated in the currency, possibly forcing them to rethink the strategy of chasing emerging-market products promising high yields.

The Turkish currency was among the most popular among Japanese retail investors -- collectively known as Mrs. Watanabe, alongside such other emerging-country favorites as the South African rand. Trading volume between the lira and the yen has been climbing since May, when the lira began to slide rapidly, with the figure reaching 1.4 trillion yen ($12.6 billion) as of June.

Japanese currency traders, who tend to be contrarian, continued to buy the lira even as it lost value. But the currency's crash since last week has forced many to cut their losses or face margin calls.

The recent balance of lira-denominated bonds stood at about 210 billion yen, according to information company Imperial Finance & Technology. Japanese investors could be even more exposed when taking into account debt issued overseas that is sold through Japanese brokerages.

Lira-denominated instruments became popular for their high yields. Even now, there are bonds on offer at major online brokerages with an anticipated annual return exceeding 20%. But the currency's decline could mean negative actual returns in yen."

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits near a one-month top, above 0.7000 amid fresh USD selling

AUD/USD holds above 0.7000 through the Asian session, trading near a one-month high touched earlier this Monday amid renewed US Dollar selling. US bond yields decline further amid a modest pullback in crude oil prices, capping the USD recovery from a three-week low. Moreover, bets for a November RBA rate hike support the Aussie, though upside seems capped ahead of the crucial two-day FOMC meeting, starting Tuesday.

USD/JPY struggles below 157.00 on weak USD; holds above one-month low ahead of Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Monday, stalling its recovery from the lowest level since September 18, touched Friday as a further decline in US bond yields weighs on the US Dollar. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen benefits from a more hawkish BoJ, further weighing on the currency pair. The downside, however, seems limited as traders keenly await Fed and BoJ policy meetings later this week.

Gold gains at start of Fed’s policy week

Gold finds bids below $4,000 in the Asian trade on Monday. The precious metal starts the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy week on positive note, but is broadly vulnerable, being closer to its three-month low of $3,975.



Bitcoin slides below $80,000, Ethereum and XRP bears in control
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) bears remain in control, extending losses on Monday after three straight weeks of declines. BTC slips below $80,000, while ETH and XRP follow BTC’s lead and trade lower at $2,315 and $1.30, respectively. The price action of these top three cryptocurrencies suggests weakening momentum indicators, raising the risk of a deeper correction.
CFTC Report: WTI rally runs ahead of positioning
The week in one sentence: WTI prices surged while speculative longs were cut in the week to October 20, creating the clearest price/positioning divergence. Sterling and the Canadian Dollar led the constructive currency shift, while Yen longs also rebuilt. Speculators turned less constructive on the WTI, reducing their net exposure to around 89.3K contracts.
What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.