|

US Election: Trump wins Florida, S&P 500 futures resilient

The latest trends show that Joe Biden is losing ground in battleground Florida, which is now called for President Donald Trump.

Republican Maria Elvira Salazar defeats Democrat Donna Shalala for a Florida House seat, per Associated Press.

“Trump's 3.5% victory in Florida almost tripled his 2016 margin of 1.2%,” FXStreet’s Senior Analyst Joseph Trevisani noted.

So far, Biden has won 13 states and Trump 16. But Biden's national tally is higher with 131 electoral votes compared to Trump's 108.

Trump is leading in the 6 swing states

Meanwhile, Wisconsin is unlikely to announce a winner tonight, Michigan needs until Friday and Pennsylvania saying Wednesday or Thursday, according to the latest reports.

Market reaction

The risk sentiment is seen stabilizing over the last hour, with a Biden win back in the spotlight after Arizona’s swing. However, Florida called for Trump failed to have any impact on the market.

The S&P 500 futures held on to its recent bounce, trading 1.50% higher while the US dollar consolidates the retreat below 94.00.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD remains offered; bears target 1.3600

GBP/USD now leaves behind part of its recent recovery and revisits the low 1.3600s at the beginning of the week. Indeed, Cable trades with a mild downward bias amid decent gains in the Greenback as investors remain wary of upcoming US data releases and the Jackson Hole event.

EUR/USD remains sidelined above 1.1650

EUR/USD trades on the defensive following the closing bell on Wall Street on Monday, hovering around the 1.1660 region and adding to Friday’s small decline. The pair’s pullback comes in response to an acceptable rebound in the US Dollar in a context of generalised caution ahead of key US data releases and Chair Warsh’s speech in Jackson Hole.

Gold poised to extend its bullish run

Gold surrenders part of its initial advance, although it keeps its bullish pace well and sound above the $4,600 mark per troy ounce on Monday. The precious metal’s move higher comes despite slight gains in the US Dollar and a modest pullback in US Treasury yields across the curve.

XRP surged 72%, but is the rally really about XRP?
Ripple (XRP) surged more than 72% in less than a week, its strongest rally since July 2025, as cryptocurrency prices broadly broke out. But the move has a problem: it may have little to do with XRP itself. The token's near-term rally appears to have been driven largely by a broader liquidity shift after the US Treasury expanded long-end bond buybacks, pulling yields lower and lifting risk assets.
Convulsion in credit markets
The United States government just posted a $432.3 billion deficit for July, the largest monthly shortfall since March of 2021. That single burst of red ink pushed the yeartodate deficit to $1.8 trillion, with two months still remaining in fiscal 2026. At this pace, Washington will soon wax nostalgic for the “good old days” when annual deficits were only $2 trillion.
$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.