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Tesco (TSCO Stock) set for a boost as UK Q1 sales top £10bn

The Tesco share price has struggled to make any significant gains since reporting its full year numbers back in April, which is a little surprising when you look at how well management has managed to scale up the business to deal with the challenges posed by the pandemic.

The underperformance may well have had something to do with the guidance with management saying they expected sales volumes to decline as lockdown restrictions eased, however to offset those concerns, there was an expectation that costs would also fall as well.

One of the main growth areas for Tesco these past 15 months has been online sales, which have seen a doubling of capacity to 1.5m slots per week over the past 12 months, while sales grew by 77%. In Q1 this demand remained high at 1.3m orders per week, with two-year sales growth of 81.6%.

Today’s numbers also show that caution to have been slightly misplaced as like for like sales in the UK rose 0.5%, and by 1.3% for the UK and Ireland.

Group like for like sales rose to £13.36bn, with the UK contributing just over £10bn of that.

This performance is even more impressive when you consider that in Q1 last year demand soared from panic buying by customers of a range of tinned goods staples, as well as pasta, rice, flour and of course rather inexplicably, toilet rolls.

With management taking the decision to return £535m of business rates relief from the government, as well as forgoing this year’s rates relief as well, the supermarket is still having to absorb a sizeable increase in costs in terms of recruiting extra staff and safeguarding measures which last year came in at £892m.

Also performing better in Q1 was Booker as demand from pubs, restaurants and cinemas reopening saw a pick up in sales with catering LFL sales rising 68.1%, though this has to be set in the context of last year's comparatives and the timing of the first lockdown.

In terms of the outlook management have continued to steer a cautious tone, reiterating the cautious view from April, keeping guidance unchanged.

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Author

Michael Hewson MSTA CFTe

Michael Hewson MSTA CFTe

Independent Analyst

Award winning technical analyst, trader and market commentator. In my many years in the business I’ve been passionate about delivering education to retail traders, as well as other financial professionals. Visit my Substack here.

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