|

Supply concerns drive European gas prices higher – Commerzbank

European gas prices have also been rising significantly for almost two weeks, with the European reference price TTF at EUR 40 per MWh, its highest level since early December, Commerzbank’s commodity strategist Barbara Lambrecht notes.

European gas prices go higher

“The main reason for the price increases in recent days is the fear of a short-term disruption of the remaining Russian pipeline supplies to the EU via Ukraine.”

“Gas supplies via the Sudzha crossing point are considered at risk due to the alleged advance of Ukrainian troops in the Kursk region: According to Bloomberg, 3 to 5 percent of gas supplies still use this route; the customers are Austria and Slovakia, which still cover a large part of their needs.”

“The gas is still flowing, however: the Russian exporter reported only slightly reduced deliveries for Thursday, ultimately due to lower demand from customers. The transit agreement with Ukraine expires at the end of the year anyway. According to Bloomberg, there have been talks about extending it, but Ukraine has shown no willingness to do so.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD tests nine-day EMA support near 1.1750

EUR/USD loses ground for the fourth consecutive session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Monday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a weakening bullish bias, as the pair tests to break below the lower boundary of the ascending channel pattern.

GBP/USD softens below 1.3500 but retains positive technical outlook

The GBP/USD pair loses momentum near 1.3485 during the early European session on Monday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand. The potential downside for a major pair might be limited, as the Bank of England guided that monetary policy will remain on a gradual downward path.

Gold pulls back from record high as profit-taking sets in

Gold price retreats from a record high near $4,550 during the early European trading hours on Monday as traders book some profits ahead of holidays. A renewed US Dollar could also weigh on the precious metal, as it makes Gold more expensive for non-US buyers, pressuring prices.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.