|premium|

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY: More records as the grind higher continues

Here is what you need to know on Friday, August 13:

Friday the 13th does not seem too scary for equity investors and why should it as markets just keep going up, teaching all new traders the benefits of buying and holding. Also perhaps teaching some bad lessons about risk management in the process, but the time to learn that will also come! Thursday saw the 47th all-time high record close for the S&P 500 in 2021, a number only beaten in 2017, 2014, and then back to 1998, 1997 and 1995 over the last 50 years. We still have plenty of time to set some more. It is a bit worrying to see the series in the mid to late '90s being matched as that set the tone for the huge tech bubble explosion, and there are a lot of correlations we see today. Also worth mentioning is the record-high number of closes from 1995, but it took another five years for the bubble to pop. Those calling a current bubble should take note. It may take longer than expected to pop.

The Delta variant may be the catalyst for a small pullback as yesterday Southwest Airlines (LUV) commented on booking cancellations and today AirBnB (ABNB) cautions about bookings being impacted by the covid variant. Disney (DIS) once again impressed overnight with strong results and as mentioned yesterday the FDA authorized booster shots for certain sectors of the population, which helped gains in the vaccine makers PFE, MRNA, BNTX and JNJ with Dr. Faucci saying everyone will likely need a booster shot.

The dollar is a bit weaker this morning as yields drop, at 1.1760 now versus the euro. The 10-year yield fell down to 1.34%. Gold is at $1,758. Bitcoin is 4% higher at $46,355, and Oil is unchanged at $69.European markets are higher: Dax +0.4%, FTSE +0.2% and Eurostoxx +0.1%.US futures are flat: S&P +0.04%, Dow +0.1% and Nasdaq -0.1%.

SPY stock forecast and news

US Punchbowl reports that nine congressional members have asked for a vote on infrastructure before the budget is passed.

Toyko governor says now facing disaster level virus problem.

FDA approves booster shots for certain sectors of the population.

Disney (DIS) beats on earnings after the close, Disney+ subscribers ahead of estimates. Shares up 4% premarket.

AIRBNB (ABNB) down 3% as the company warns on Delta variant impact.

DoorDash (DASH) misses on EPS, down 4% premarket.

Rocket (RKT) up 4% premarket on results.

Upstart (UPST) upgraded by Barclays, up 3% premarket.

CVAC, MRNA, PFE, BNTX, JNJ, NVAX up premarket on Faucci comments.

Kansas City Southern (KSU) rejects a new offer from Canadian Pacific (CP).

Activision (ATVI) up 1% premarket as Citi upgrades.

Upgrades, downgrades, premarket movers

Economic releases


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Ivan Brian

Ivan Brian

FXStreet

Ivan Brian started his career with AIB Bank in corporate finance and then worked for seven years at Baxter. He started as a macro analyst before becoming Head of Research and then CFO.

More from Ivan Brian
Share:

Editor's Picks

Japanese Yen gains ground as traders await Fed rate decision

The USD/JPY pair loses ground to near 160.25 during the early European trading hours. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision under new Chair Kevin Warsh later on Wednesday.

AUD/USD stays pressured; holds above 0.7050 as traders await Fed decision

The AUD/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's hawkish Reserve Bank of Australia-inspired bounce and trades with a negative bias for the second consecutive day on Wednesday. Spot prices, however, hold above the 0.7050 level as traders opt to wait for the outcome of a two-day FOMC policy meeting before placing fresh directional bets.

Gold remains depressed but holds above $4,300 as traders seem hesitant ahead of Fed

Gold remains on the back foot heading into the European session, though it lacks follow-through selling and holds comfortably above the $4,300 mark. Traders now seem hesitant ahead of the highly anticipated FOMC policy decision, keeping the commodity below the weekly high.

DOGE near breakout, SHIB at its ceiling and PEPE leads meme coin recovery

Meme coins are approaching a key technical level, which could determine the next directional bias. Dogecoin struggles to overcome a major resistance level, and Shiba Inu recovery lost momentum near a crucial barrier. Meanwhile, Pepe extends its rally for a sixth straight day, raising the prospects of further upside if momentum persists.

Federal Reserve set to hold interest rates in Warsh's debut as chair

The United States Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision on Wednesday, another pivotal meeting for markets to gauge the stance of policymakers and new Chair Kevin Warsh as energy prices retreat after the United States and Iran reached a framework deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Why a hawkish RBA is no longer enough to lift the Australian Dollar

The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered more than what markets expected: a hawkish hold that should have supported the Aussie. But markets widely ignored it, focusing instead on slowing economic growth and proving that central bank messaging alone isn’t always enough to drive currencies.