|

S&P affirms UK rating at AA/A-1+; outlook remains negative on "Brexit uncertainties"

Ratings agency S&P affirmed the United Kingdom rating at "AA/A-1+", but the outlook remains negative because of Brexit uncertainties. Also, S&P states that current outlook reflects institutional, economic uncertainty surrounding Brexit negotiations and what arrangements will emerge post-departure.

Key headlines (via Reuters):

  • See heightened risks of deterioration in external financing conditions in light of the U.K.'s high gross external financing requirements
  • Leaving the EU will also significantly diminish the U.K.’s capacity to influence EU policy on key sectors of the U.K. economy
  • Also think Brexit could create challenging constitutional issues if it results in a second referendum on Scottish independence
  • Brexit could also, over time, diminish sterling’s role as a global reserve currency
  • Still view U.K.’s high external deficit as a vulnerability, and view an EU departure as a risk to financing sources
  • UK-take the view that Scottish national party will push for another referendum on Scottish independence
  • UK-given Brexit uncertainties and the likely fall in investment, forecasting a slowdown in 2017-2019

Author

Felipe Erazo

Felipe Erazo

FXStreet

Born in Colombia, Felipe Erazo is the American Session Manager at FXStreet. He has been studying journalism with a degree in social communication at the Universidad de Chile.

More from Felipe Erazo
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD strengthens to near 1.3400 as UK political risk fades

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength near 1.3395 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday, bolstered by fading domestic political uncertainty. However, hawkish minutes from the Federal Reserve and renewed tensions between the US and Iran might support the US Dollar and cap the upside for the major pair.


EUR/USD sticks to positive bias above 1.1400 vs USD; Mideast tensions cap gains

The EUR/USD pair attracts some buyers for the second straight day, though it lacks follow-through and remains confined within the previous day's range during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1420 area, up less than 0.10% for the day, and remain at the mercy of the US Dollar price dynamics.

Gold keeps the red despite softer USD; stays below $4,100

Gold trades with a mild negative bias in the Asian session on Thursday, fading the overnight bounce from $4,020, or a one-week low. Minutes of the June FOMC meeting showed an evenly divided debate over the monetary policy outlook and failed to impress the US Dollar bulls, which is supporting Gold. However, fresh US-Iran tensions drive Oil higher, reviving inflation concerns and limiting the USD's downside and the bullion's rebound.

Bitcoin eyes extension of July rally after reclaiming $60K, but bear market risks remain — CryptoQuant

Bitcoin could be positioned for further gains this month after reclaiming the $60,000 level, as historical July seasonality, improving demand and easing selling pressure point to stronger short-term momentum, according to a Wednesday market report by CryptoQuant. The report noted that July has historically been one of Bitcoin's strongest months, particularly during bear market cycles.

2.50%: Why the Kiwi's first hike in three years is a wager on a number nobody can see
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) raised the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 2.50% at 02:00 GMT on Wednesday, its first hike in three years and the moment the bank that cut deeper than any G10 peer last cycle turned to face the other way.
Bye, forward guidance: How to trade when central banks choose silence

Central banks have spent years telling markets what might come next. Now, traders face the possibility that they say a lot less. From the Federal Reserve to the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, policymakers are pushing back against forward guidance.