|

S&P 500 Forecast: SPX likely to slide small in shortened trading day

  • United States stock market reopens after Thanksgiving with equities slowly sliding.
  • Apple faces more challenges from Foxconn factories in China.
  • Microsoft's deal for Activision Blizzard also likely to weigh on the tech sector.

Welcome back after the Thanksgiving feast but do not expect much action on US stock markets. European markets were very quiet and it looks like more of the same on Friday for the S&P 500 to close out the week. Little data of note and only Oil price may get some catalyst later from the European Union meeting to again discuss the price cap on Russian Oil.

S&P 500 news: Limited trading on Black Friday

The United States stock market reopens after its Thanksgiving feast as shoppers rush to Black Friday discounts. That will see reports early next week on the strength of the shopping season and possibly confirm recent trends from retailers who are holding up well.

The news on Apple (AAPL) remains in flux as reports from the Foxconn plant in China continue to worsen. The tech sector could also be hit by Microsoft (MSFT) as its deal for Activision Blizzard (ATVI) looks likely to face more competition scrutiny. Overall, Friday could be set for a small move lower on the back of some profit-taking ahead of the weekend. Equity markets, including the S&P 500, close early at 18.00 GMT (13 EST).

SPX forecast: Bear-market rally scenario intact

Technically, the S&P 500 rally remains in place and bulls are firmly in charge. 4,028 is the intraday resistance pivot, the weekly high. Below, and we are likely to slide to 3,946. That is the medium-term pivot for the move to continue.

S&P 500 (SPX) stock market daily chart shows bear-market rally
  

SPX daily chart

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Ivan Brian

Ivan Brian

FXStreet

Ivan Brian started his career with AIB Bank in corporate finance and then worked for seven years at Baxter. He started as a macro analyst before becoming Head of Research and then CFO.

More from Ivan Brian
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD tests nine-day EMA support near 1.1750

EUR/USD loses ground for the fourth consecutive session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Monday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a weakening bullish bias, as the pair tests to break below the lower boundary of the ascending channel pattern.

GBP/USD softens below 1.3500 but retains positive technical outlook

The GBP/USD pair loses momentum near 1.3485 during the early European session on Monday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand. The potential downside for a major pair might be limited, as the Bank of England guided that monetary policy will remain on a gradual downward path.

Gold pulls back from record high as profit-taking sets in

Gold price retreats from a record high near $4,550 during the early European trading hours on Monday as traders book some profits ahead of holidays. A renewed US Dollar could also weigh on the precious metal, as it makes Gold more expensive for non-US buyers, pressuring prices.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.