|

S&P 500 drops to 4520, on course for third successive daily loss as strong US data boosts Fed tightening bets

  • US equities were on course to post a third successive day in the red as strong US data saw markets up Fed tightening bets. 
  • The S&P 500 was last down 0.2% in the 4520 area. 

US equities were on course to post a third successive day in the red on Friday as strong US labour market data and an inflationary ISM Manufacturing PMI report raised the prospect of a faster pace of Fed tightening this year and next. The S&P 500 was last trading about 0.1% lower on the day in the 4520s, having fluctuated between lows just above 4500 and highs near 4550. The index is on course to end the week with modest losses of about 0.4% and about 2.4% lower versus Tuesday’s highs. 

The heavily tech/growth stock waited Nasdaq 100 index was a modest underperformer, losing nearly 0.5% to drop back into the 14,700s, leaving the index now more than 3.0% below earlier weekly highs in the 15,200s. However, the index remains on course to close in the green on the week. Tech/growth names underperformed on Friday amid a sharp rise in US yields, particularly at the short-end following the strong US data, which raises the “opportunity cost” of owning stocks whose current earnings are low relative to valuation. 

Stocks whose current earnings are relatively higher when compared to current valuations, or so-called value/cyclical stocks which make up a heavier weighting in the Dow, performed better on Friday. Indeed, the Dow was last trading flat in the 34,600s, leaving it only about 2.0% below earlier weekly highs in the 35,300s. The S&P 500 CBOE Volatility Index (or VIX), often referred to as Wall Street’s “fear gauge” fell about half a point to near 20.00, which is its long-term average. That leaves it only about 1.50 above recent lows, indicative of calmer seas in the current equity market. 

SP 500

Overview
Today last price4525.43
Today Daily Change-10.61
Today Daily Change %-0.23
Today daily open4536.04
 
Trends
Daily SMA204396.62
Daily SMA504405.35
Daily SMA1004538.8
Daily SMA2004492.83
 
Levels
Previous Daily High4616.96
Previous Daily Low4532.53
Previous Weekly High4544.56
Previous Weekly Low4422.74
Previous Monthly High4636.57
Previous Monthly Low4136.82
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%4564.78
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%4584.71
Daily Pivot Point S14506.73
Daily Pivot Point S24477.41
Daily Pivot Point S34422.3
Daily Pivot Point R14591.16
Daily Pivot Point R24646.27
Daily Pivot Point R34675.59

Author

Joel Frank

Joel Frank

Independent Analyst

Joel Frank is an economics graduate from the University of Birmingham and has worked as a full-time financial market analyst since 2018, specialising in the coverage of how developments in the global economy impact financial asset

More from Joel Frank
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar comeback in the makes?

The US Dollar stands victorious at the end of another week, with the EUR/USD pair trading near a four-week low of 1.1742, while the USD retains its strength despite some discouraging American data released at the end of the week. The pair edged higher on Friday, after the United States Supreme Court ruled against President Donald Trump's tariffs, although the advance is not enough to change the latest USD flow.

GBP/USD braces for more pain, as 200-day SMA tested

GBP/USD broke the previous week’s consolidation to the downside, as sellers returned with pomp, smashing the major back toward the levels last seen in late January. The pair tested bids below the 1.3450 barrier as the US Dollar strength largely played out throughout the week, while the Pound Sterling stepped back on expectations of divergent monetary policy outlooks between the Bank of England and the US Federal Reserve.

Gold climbs to weekly tops, approaches $5,100/oz

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place at the end of the week, now hitting fresh weekly highs and retargeting the key $5,100 mark per troy ounce. The move higher in the yellow metal comes in response to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and modest losses in the US Dollar.

Week ahead: Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness. Yen and aussie diverge; both pound and euro could recoup their losses.

Broadening drivers of growth: Unpacking GDP and looking ahead

This week’s data delivered a familiar theme with an important twist. The U.S. economy continues to be shaped by powerful forces in high-tech and AI-related investment, but recent releases suggest the growth story may finally be broadening. At the same time, trade flows are moving in a less supportive direction, reminding us that not all parts of the economy are pulling in sync.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.