SMH semiconductor ETF reacted from a blue box breaking to new highs

Elliott Wave Forecast Team ElliottWave-Forecast.com

The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) is an exchange-traded fund that tracks a market-cap weighted index composed of 25 of the largest U.S.-listed semiconductor companies. The top holdings of SMH include companies like NVIDIA, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Broadcom Inc., Texas Instruments, QUALCOMM, ASML Holding N.V., Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, Micron Technology, Inc., and Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

SMH four-hour chart April 19th

In March 2024, the ETF made a peak at 239.14 high and we called as wave (III). Then, the market started a pullback and we called a double correction structure. Down from the peak, we can see 3 swings that ended wave w at 212.82 low. Another 3 swings bounced to finish wave x at 230.95 high. From here, we were looking for 3 swings more to the downside to reach 204.63 – 188.26 area. In the blue box, we were expecting that buyers appear to call wave y and wave (IV) ended and resume the rally in wave (V).

SMH four-hour chart May 23th

After a month, We can see SMH reached the blue box ended wave (IV) at 198.41 low and rally as expected. The ETF is developing an impulse as wave I of (V) and we see the structure incomplete at the moment. The uptrend ended wave ((1)) of I at 219.62 high. Then we had a fast correction as wave ((2)) ending at 206.11 low. The market remained up with a strong momentum in wave ((3)). Wave (1) of ((3)) ended at 223.18 high. Wave (2) correction at 218.11 low. The rally continued ending wave (3) at 236.04 high and wave (4) pullback at 231.87 low.

After NVDA earnings results, SMH broke higher above wave (III) peak confirming more upside extension. Currently, wave (5) of ((3)) could be near to end. When we see a strong correction as wave ((2)), wave ((3)) should be ended and we would expect 3, 7 or 11 swings correction to complete wave ((4)) before resuming to the upside in wave ((5)) of 1. The strategy is looking for buying opportunities after wave ((4)) is completed to trade wave ((5)) higher.

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

EUR/USD meets initial support around 1.1800

EUR/USD remains on the back foot, although it has managed to reverse the initial strong pullback toward the 1.1800 region and regain some balance, hovering around the 1.1850 zone as the NA session draws to a close on Tuesday. Moving forward, market participants will now shift their attention to the release of the FOMC Minutes and US hard data on Wednesday.

GBP/USD bounces off lows, retargets 1.3550

After bottoming out just below the 1.3500 yardstick, GBP/USD now gathers some fresh bids and advances to the 1.3530-1.3540 band in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Cable’s recovery comes as the Greenback surrenders part of its advance, although it keeps the bullish bias well in place for the day.

Gold remains offered below $5,000

Gold stays on the defensive on Tuesday, receding to the sub-$5,000 region per troy ounce on the back of the persistent move higher in the Greenback. The precious metal’s decline is also underpinned by the modest uptick in US Treasury yields across the spectrum.

Ethereum Price Forecast: BitMine extends ETH buying streak, says long-term outlook remains positive

Ethereum (ETH) treasury firm BitMine Immersion continued its weekly purchase of the top altcoin last week after acquiring 45,759 ETH.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months.

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.