Silver prices post stunning more than 6% rally back to $24.00


Share:
  • Spot silver (XAG/USD) prices underwent a stunning rally on Tuesday, rallying from just above $22.50 to $24.00.  
  • Precious metal dip-buying amid expectations for further pressure on real yields ahead spurred the move.

Spot silver (XAG/USD) prices have undergone an enormous more than 6% rally on Tuesday from just above $22.50 at the Monday FX market close to just below $24.00 going into the Tuesday FX close. As things stand, XAG/USD trades with gains of roughly $1.40 on the day.

Global PMI reports suggest inflation incoming

The US 10-year inflation breakeven rose above 1.8% on Tuesday (an indication that markets expect inflation to average 1.8% over the next 10 years), its highest level since May 2019. Meanwhile, PMI reports from around the world on Tuesday also pointed to the likelihood of rising inflation;

China’s Caixin PMI survey said that “inflationary pressures grew as prices rose at a faster pace” and South Korea’s PMI report said that “the rise in average cost burdens was strong overall, which panel members associated with widespread increases in raw material prices. Higher supplier costs were partially passed on to customers resulting in a further, albeit marginal, rise in output charges”. Meanwhile, Tuesday’s European morning session final manufacturing PMIs out of the Eurozone said “shortages of inputs are meanwhile contributing to higher price pressures, with suppliers' increasingly able to raise prices amid sellers' market for many key inputs. Such restoration of pricing power bodes well for profits & helps ease broader deflationary concerns” and the UK report said "input cost inflation accelerated to a 2-yr high in November. Companies responded by raising their average selling prices to the greatest extent in the year so far”.

Market’s seem to have sensed the smell of higher incoming inflation in the air; US treasury yields shot higher on Tuesday (10-year bond yields rising roughly 8bps to 0.921%) and the curve steepened (the 2-year 10-year bond yield spread widened by just under 6bps).

However, with Fed officials continuing to signal rates at zero until at least 2023 and a continuation of accommodative policy into the foreseeable future, the chances are that US bond yields will not rise as much as inflation expectations, meaning that US real-yields are likely to remain well below 0.0%.

As many analysts have pointed out over recent weeks, the subdued real rate environment and the fact that real rates are expected to remain at lows for the foreseeable future boosts the attractiveness of precious metals as an alternative investment to fixed income. Likely, this narrative was one of the key reasons why precious metal bulls were able to regain control on Tuesday, as well as those more enticed to buy precious metals at favourable prices compared to recent months.

Whether Tuesday’s move to the upside signals a resumption of the precious metals bull market is one thing, but the low real rate narrative is likely to continue to offer support to the complex for the foreseeable future.

Silver breaks above short-term downtrend and through key resistance

Silver crashed through a number of key areas of resistance during its rally on Tuesday. Firstly, the precious metal broke back above a short-term downtrend that it had been trapped within for most of the latter half of November. Moreover, XAG/USD also broke back above a longer-term uptrend linking the 24 September and 29 October lows. The rally was only paused as the precious metal struck its 21 and 50-day moving averages, which sit right above the $24.00 level.

Share: Feed news

Note: All information on this page is subject to change. The use of this website constitutes acceptance of our user agreement. Please read our privacy policy and legal disclaimer. Opinions expressed at FXstreet.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of FXstreet.com or its management. Risk Disclosure: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.

Follow us on Telegram

Stay updated of all the news

Join Telegram

Recommended content


Follow us on Telegram

Stay updated of all the news

Join Telegram

Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.0700, eyes on Powell

EUR/USD holds above 1.0700, eyes on Powell

EUR/USD edged lower toward 1.0700 in the early European session but managed to hold above that level. As investors await speeches from ECB officials and FOMC Chairman Jerome Powell, the pair struggles to make a decisive move in either direction.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD trades with a touching distance of 1.2000

GBP/USD trades with a touching distance of 1.2000

GBP/USD came under modest bearish pressure and touched its lowest level in a month below 1.2000 on Tuesday. The pair seems to have gone into a consolidation phase near that level with market participants awaiting FOMC Chairman Jerome Powell's speech.

GBP/USD News

Gold clings to modest daily gains above $1,870

Gold clings to modest daily gains above $1,870

Gold price clings to modest daily gains and trades above $1,870 on Tuesday. Following Monday's rally, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stages a downward correction, allowing XAU/USD to stay in positive territory ahead of FOMC Chairman Powell's speech.

Gold News

Will Bitcoin price test $20,000 again?

Will Bitcoin price test $20,000 again?

Bitcoin price shows clear signs of distribution occurring on the four-hour chart, which indicates the possibility of a trend reversal. Moreover, BTC has been consolidating for more than two weeks with no direction in sight.

Read more

Central banks, markets and the economy: Three times wrongfooted

Central banks, markets and the economy: Three times wrongfooted

In the US, financial conditions have eased in recent months and weighed on the effectiveness of the Fed’s policy tightening. Jerome Powell recently gave the impression of not being too concerned, so markets rallied.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures