Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD falls to near $31.00 support, channel’s lower threshold
- Silver price could test the primary support at the psychological level of $31.00.
- The daily chart analysis indicates an increasing bearish bias, with the descending channel pattern continuing to expand.
- The pair could approach the initial resistance at the nine-day EMA of $31.83.
Silver price (XAG/USD) remains steady after registering losses in the previous session, trading near $31.20 per troy ounce during the early European session on Friday. Technical analysis on the daily chart indicates a strengthening bearish outlook, with the grey metal moving downwards within a descending channel pattern.
Silver price also remains below the nine-day and 14-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), signaling weakened short-term momentum. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) falls below the 50 mark, confirming the bearish bias is active.
To the downside, the XAG/USD pair may find initial support at the psychological level of $31.00, followed by the lower boundary of the descending channel at the 30.70 level. A break below this level could reinforce the bearish bias, potentially pushing Silver's price toward the five-month low of $28.74, last seen on December 19.
Silver price could encounter initial resistance at the nine-day EMA of $31.83, followed by the 14-day EMA at $31.89. The further barrier appears around the descending channel’s upper boundary at the $32.10 level. A break above this crucial resistance zone could restore the bullish outlook, potentially pushing the pair toward the four-month high of $33.40.
XAG/USD: Daily Chart
Silver FAQs
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
Author
Akhtar Faruqui
FXStreet
Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.
