|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD’s uptrend remains intact, as bullish harami looms

  • Silver stable at $26.64 after Fed holds rates steady, per Chair Powell's data-driven stance.
  • Technicals: Silver rebounds from $26.27 low, eyes $27.00 resistance.
  • Silver hints at bullish trend; breakout above $27.14 could reinforce this.
  • Bearish shift requires silver below $26.13, targeting lower supports.

Silver's price stayed firm at around $26.64 after the Fed decided to hold rates unchanged and Powell’s press conference. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said they would remain data-dependent, decide meeting by meeting, and won’t cut rates until they’re confident that inflation is trending towards its 2% goal.

XAG/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The grey metal dipped below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $26.41, hitting a two-week low of $26.27 before resuming its uptrend. Although Silver reached a daily high of $26.96, buyers lacked the strength to break above the $27.00 figure, which paved the way to retreat to current price levels.

The XAG/USD is upward biased despite going through a pullback that sent prices from around $29.79 to $26.27. For sellers to shift the bias to bearish, they would need to push the spot price below the May 5 high at $26.13, which would pave the way toward $26.00 and below.

On the flip side, and the most likely scenario, if XAG/USD achieves a daily close at around the current level, a ‘bullish harami’ and a two-candle chart pattern will form. This usually would be bullish for the asset, but buyers must crack the April 30 high at $27.14, before resuming its uptrend.

XAG/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price26.63
Today Daily Change0.33
Today Daily Change %1.25
Today daily open26.3
 
Trends
Daily SMA2027.68
Daily SMA5025.55
Daily SMA10024.35
Daily SMA20023.8
 
Levels
Previous Daily High27.14
Previous Daily Low26.26
Previous Weekly High28.69
Previous Weekly Low26.67
Previous Monthly High29.8
Previous Monthly Low24.75
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%26.59
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%26.8
Daily Pivot Point S125.99
Daily Pivot Point S225.68
Daily Pivot Point S325.1
Daily Pivot Point R126.87
Daily Pivot Point R227.45
Daily Pivot Point R327.76

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD holds range below 1.3650 amid Iran risks

GBP/USD extends its sideways consolidative price move for the second straight day and trades below 1.3650 in Tuesday's European session. The US Dollar is looking to build on its modest recovery amid US sanctions on Iran, acting as a headwind for the pair. The lack of follow-through selling warrants some caution for bearish traders.

EUR/USD struggles near 1.1650 as USD recovers amid Mideast woes

EUR/USD is struggling to gain traction, while trading near 1.1650 in European trading on Tuesday. The pair fails to find support amid a modest US Dollar recovery as rising oil prices, elevated bond yields, and escalating Middle East tensions fuel risk-off trades. Upbeat Germany IFO Survey fails to inspire Euro bulls.

Gold remains depressed below $4,650 on firmer USD, Fed risks, and Middle East tensions

Gold remains on the back foot below $4,650 through the first half of the European session. However, the lack of follow-through selling warrants caution before positioning for an extension of the intraday retracement slide from the $4,700 neighborhood, or the highest level since May 14, touched earlier this Tuesday. The US Dollar is seen building on its recovery from a three-month low as inflation risks stemming from volatile energy prices keep bets for at least one interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve on the table.

Bitcoin tops $80,000 as US Treasury fights high yields – AERO, VIRTUAL rally

Bitcoin extends gains above $80,000 as broader market risk-on sentiment persists. The scarce asset could extend its rally as the US Treasury combats high yields in the long-dated bond market, with further interventions on the horizon. Aerodrome Finance (AERO) and Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) emerged as top performers over the last 24 hours.

The forex market is switching to a ‘debasement trade’
The US dollar has stabilised near three-month lows thanks to a rapid recovery in Treasury bond yields. Yields on 30-year bonds are returning to the levels seen following the Treasury’s announcement that it was increasing the minimum purchase volume to $4 billion. The greenback got support from falling stock indices, the continued rally in Brent crude, and positive signals from the US economy.
$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.