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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD struggles near one-week low, just above mid-$21.00s

  • Silver remained depressed near the weekly low touched the previous day.
  • The set-up favours bearish traders and supports prospects for further losses.
  • Sustained move beyond the $22.00 mark is needed to negate the bearish bias.

Silver oscillated in a range, just above mid-$21.00s through the first half of the European session and consolidated the previous day's decline to over a one-week low.

Given the recent failures near the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart, acceptance below the $22.00 round-figure mark could be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders. Moreover, technical indicators on hourly/daily charts are holding in the bearish territory and add credence to the near-term negative outlook for the XAG/USD.

Some follow-through selling below the $21.50-$21.45 area would reaffirm the bearish bias and pave the way for additional losses. The XAG/USD could then fall to the $21.00 mark with some intermediate support near the $21.30 zone. The downward trajectory could get extended towards the YTD low, around the $20.45 region touched on May 13.

On the flip side, any attempted recovery move might now confront stiff resistance near the $21.90-$22.00 support breakpoint. The said region also marks a confluence barrier comprising the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart and the $20.46-$22.52 corrective bounce, which should now act as a key pivotal point for short-term traders.

Sustained strength beyond might trigger a short-covering move and lift spot prices back towards the monthly peak, around the mid-$22.00s touched earlier this week. The momentum could then allow bulls to reclaim the $23.00 round-figure mark and lift the XAG/USD further towards the next relevant hurdle near the $23.30 region.

Silver 4-hour chart

fxsoriginal

Key levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price21.66
Today Daily Change-0.03
Today Daily Change %-0.14
Today daily open21.69
 
Trends
Daily SMA2021.86
Daily SMA5023.02
Daily SMA10023.67
Daily SMA20023.46
 
Levels
Previous Daily High22.15
Previous Daily Low21.55
Previous Weekly High22.48
Previous Weekly Low21.44
Previous Monthly High23.28
Previous Monthly Low20.46
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%21.78
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%21.92
Daily Pivot Point S121.45
Daily Pivot Point S221.2
Daily Pivot Point S320.85
Daily Pivot Point R122.04
Daily Pivot Point R222.39
Daily Pivot Point R322.64

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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